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Evaluation
Astronomical Enigma
Independent Evaluation

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Copy of a letter sent by an independent mathematician to an astronomer colleague at University College London. The mathematician wishes to remain anonymous, as does his colleague in London.

Here it is............

Peter,

I hope you can help me with this problem:

SOME RELATIONSHIPS CONNECTING THE SEMI-MAJOR AXES OF PLANETARY ORBITS.

Introduction

Although I have attempted to simplify the mathematical treatment of the analysis that follows, this work appears to be entirely attributable to Mr G. Curtis, who first discussed the matter with me a few months ago. He claims to have limited mathematical background but, he has been able to obtain a number of unexpected relationships between the lengths of the semi-major axes of the planets' elliptical orbits.

As far as I am able to judge, the relationships do not derive from any fundamental mathematical theory (eg Kepler's laws) and yet, in the main, they so closely reflect the truth that I am reluctant to dismiss the results as a consequence of pure chance. Unfortunately, my own knowledge of astronomy is so sparse that I am not able to judge the merits of these findings, so I am seeking the views of a more authoritative and reliable source.

Data (Throughout, AU units are employed.)

In the table below, semi-major planetary axes lengths, (the arithmetic mean of aphelion and perihelion distances) are denoted by z; with x and y values being taken as z(3/2p) and z(9/4p) respectively.
Planet Z value X value Y value
Mercury (Me) 0.3870987   0.5067562
Venus (V) 0.7233322   0.7929725
Earth (E) 1.0000000   1.0000000
Mars (Ma) 1.5236915 1.2227197 1.3520425
Jupiter (J) 5.2028039 2.1977496  
Saturn (S) 9.5388437 2.9354505  
Uranus (U) 19.1818710 4.0976543  
Neptune (N) 30.0579240 5.0777748  
Pluto (P) 39.4390000 5.7809400  

Table 1


Preliminary x-y graph (not to scale)
Preliminary x-y graph

It is now 'speculated' that the four points shown on the graph may be joined by a straight line of gradient 1/ln30 which passes through the point
((20p)3/2p,(p)9/4p).

The equation of this line is (y-(p)9/4p) = (ln30)-1(x-(20p)3/2p), i.e.

y=0.2940141 x +0.1472341 (Equation 1)

My own determination of the linear regression line for the four points shown gives the equation

y=0.2933088 x +0.1464114 (Equation 2)

with correlation coefficient r = 0.999900. Clearly the two equations are very similar and comparison of the z values, calculated from the two equations, with the original data, is shown in the following table..

Planet Z (data) Z (equation 1) Z (equation 2)
Mercury 0.3870987 0.3870718 0.3852757
Venus 0.7233322 0.7238812 0.7208603
Earth 1.0000000 1.0144079 1.0103543
Mars 1.5236915 1.5236281 1.5177892

Table 2

This shows that Eric's equation and the regression equation produce very accurate results but that, with Eric's equation, three out of the four z estimates are better than those obtained from the regression equation.

Graphical development

If x values for Neptune and Pluto are now introduced onto the graph then the corresponding y values may be determined from equation (1) as 1.6401715 and 1.84691 respectively. (These correspond to z values of 1.99545533 AU and 2.35520343 AU ) On the developed graph shown below, labels (P1) and (P2) indicate positions on the y axis.

Alternatively, the following approach may be employed : Considering the y differences along the y axis, Table 1 gives

(V) - (Me) = 0.2862163 = a (say),

(E) - (V) = 0.2070275 = b (say) and

(Ma) - (E) = 0.3520425 = c (say);

then (P1) is taken as (Ma)+a = 1.3520425 + 0.2862163 = 1.6382588

and (P2) is taken as (P1) + b = 1.6382588 + 0.2070275 = 1.8452863

By comparing these y values with those above we see that the differences are both about 0.1%---- a surprising result !

(For these values of y the corresponding z values are 1.99220695 and 2.35231288.)

If further extrapolation along the y axes is considered, then another position (P3) is determined such that (P3) = (P2) +c = 1.8452863 + 0.3520425 = 2.1973288 , and the corresponding z value is 3.001757 AU.

As a final graphic development, the y value for (P3) can be substituted into equation (1) to find the x value for a hypothetical planet Px (as shown on the graph).

This is found to have an x value of 6.9895438 which corresponds to a z value of 58.6961334 AU.

It appears that Eric has used (P1) and (P3) (z values of 2 AU and 3 AU respectively) as rough boundaries for the asteroid belt, but I am unable to comment on this.

Eric has also marked in x scale differences A,B, and C, which correspond to the a,b,and c differences on the y axis.

Developed graph

Further findings

a,b,c / Pythagoras:

The square root of (a2 + b2) = 0.3532423 and c= 0.3520425, which differs by about 0.3%.

Thus, a2 +b2 ~ c2 ! (Consequently A2 + B2 ~ C2 )

b/a and Venus

The ratio b/a = 0.2070275 / 0.2862163 = 0.7233253, but the z value for Venus is 0.7233322 --- ---a difference of less than 0.001% ! An amazing result.

Comment

Some aspects of the above investigation are not completely precise but, even allowing for such deficiencies, I find many of the results so surprising and apparently without any mathematical explanation.

If there is some 'well-known' theory which accounts for such strange results, I would be grateful to receive details of it but, in any case, an informed second opinion would be welcomed by both Eric and myself.

Many thanks for your help,

Regards..

(Letter was sent to University College London on 23/7/01. Further information may be available if and when a reply is received..)

Astronomical Enigma
Part 1
Main
Equation
Part 2
Trigonometry
Part 3
Venus
General
Observations
Equation
Summary
Orbital Data
RESULTS
Graphical
Summary
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