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ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings
The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 12-31-04. Home court advantage is 0.642, or about 5.41 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.
Rank Team Record Rating Schedule 1 Illinois* 14-0 0.940 96 0.539 2 Duke* 8-0 0.940 209 0.470 3 Kansas* 8-0 0.939 77 0.556 4 Oklahoma St.* 9-1 0.912 92 0.541 5 North Carolina* 11-1 0.911 78 0.556 6 Pittsburgh* 10-0 0.904 295 0.390 7 Washington* 11-1 0.876 107 0.532 8 West Virginia* 9-0 0.870 306 0.360 9 Wake Forest* 11-1 0.870 41 0.600 10 Arkansas* 12-1 0.869 272 0.411 11 Kentucky* 9-1 0.864 245 0.443 12 Georgia Tech* 9-1 0.863 273 0.409 13 Virginia* 8-1 0.862 53 0.581 14 Wisconsin* 9-2 0.861 54 0.579 15 Cincinnati* 11-1 0.858 214 0.467 16 Iowa* 12-1 0.854 103 0.535 17 Arizona* 10-2 0.849 33 0.609 18 Wichita St.* 9-0 0.849 154 0.498 19 Oregon* 9-1 0.835 64 0.565 20 Syracuse* 13-1 0.834 278 0.407 21 Connecticut* 8-1 0.832 294 0.390 22 Oklahoma* 9-2 0.831 141 0.508 23 Alabama* 10-2 0.829 76 0.557 24 Gonzaga* 10-2 0.829 43 0.599 25 Boston College* 10-0 0.829 268 0.413 26 Michigan St.* 8-2 0.825 182 0.485 27 Texas A&M* 10-0 0.823 333 0.182 28 Mississippi St.* 12-2 0.822 164 0.495 29 Texas* 9-2 0.813 222 0.461 30 Hofstra* 9-1 0.812 160 0.497 31 Arizona St.* 11-1 0.809 271 0.411 32 Old Dominion* 11-1 0.807 302 0.374 33 Maryland* 8-2 0.802 189 0.482 34 Ohio St.* 11-2 0.801 253 0.438 35 George Washington* 8-2 0.800 55 0.579 36 Louisville* 10-2 0.799 283 0.404 37 South Carolina* 8-3 0.793 57 0.573 38 Florida* 8-2 0.793 293 0.391 39 Marquette* 11-1 0.790 244 0.444 40 Texas Tech* 6-3 0.790 98 0.538 41 Southern Illinois* 10-2 0.785 161 0.497 42 Pacific* 7-2 0.783 45 0.599 43 North Carolina St.* 10-2 0.781 282 0.406 44 Clemson* 9-3 0.773 153 0.499 45 UAB* 9-3 0.773 60 0.571 46 Villanova* 7-1 0.771 299 0.380 47 Western Kentucky* 9-1 0.765 267 0.419 48 Minnesota 8-3 0.758 102 0.535 49 Kent St.* 8-3 0.757 70 0.560 50 Northern Iowa 9-2 0.755 236 0.448 51 Utah St. 9-3 0.753 234 0.451 52 Vermont* 5-3 0.753 30 0.613 53 Oral Roberts* 9-3 0.752 173 0.489 54 Boston University 7-3 0.751 93 0.540 55 Charlotte 9-2 0.750 210 0.469 56 Southwest Missouri St. 6-3 0.740 119 0.524 57 Western Michigan 8-3 0.738 117 0.527 58 Utah* 10-3 0.737 226 0.457 59 New Mexico 12-2 0.735 320 0.332 60 Wisconsin Milwaukee* 7-3 0.733 176 0.488 61 Texas El Paso* 10-2 0.725 313 0.347 62 Miami FL 8-2 0.722 242 0.445 63 Creighton 9-4 0.720 97 0.538 64 Hawaii 8-1 0.717 213 0.468 65 Holy Cross* 6-4 0.713 37 0.604 66 Vanderbilt 8-4 0.712 99 0.537 67 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 8-3 0.712 138 0.510 68 Providence 8-4 0.711 100 0.537 69 Nevada 8-3 0.706 220 0.463 70 Georgetown 8-3 0.704 192 0.482 71 Iowa St. 8-2 0.702 223 0.459 72 Temple 4-5 0.701 4 0.727 73 Nevada Las Vegas 6-4 0.700 35 0.607 74 Auburn 9-4 0.697 91 0.542 75 Air Force 7-5 0.696 87 0.545 76 Richmond 5-5 0.695 3 0.729 77 Bradley 7-2 0.692 139 0.509 78 Mississippi 9-4 0.692 218 0.465 79 Kansas St. 9-1 0.690 310 0.355 80 St. Mary's 11-4 0.689 232 0.453 81 Princeton* 7-4 0.687 31 0.612 82 Texas Christian 9-4 0.685 158 0.497 83 Chattanooga* 6-3 0.683 279 0.406 84 San Francisco 8-3 0.682 196 0.478 85 Southern California 7-5 0.682 22 0.620 86 Portland 10-4 0.682 143 0.507 87 Miami OH 6-3 0.674 114 0.528 88 DePaul 7-3 0.671 140 0.508 89 Houston 8-5 0.668 27 0.615 90 Northern Illinois 5-4 0.666 38 0.603 91 Illinois St. 9-3 0.665 247 0.442 92 Rice 6-3 0.663 135 0.514 93 Birmingham Southern* 7-4 0.661 133 0.516 94 Colorado 7-3 0.658 82 0.549 95 Furman 7-4 0.655 296 0.388 96 Rutgers 6-4 0.654 58 0.572 97 Niagara* 7-4 0.650 208 0.470 98 Notre Dame 8-2 0.648 318 0.337 99 Louisiana Tech 6-4 0.645 48 0.594 100 Fresno St. 7-3 0.640 246 0.443 101 Washington St. 6-4 0.640 20 0.623 102 Nebraska 5-4 0.640 187 0.483 103 Bucknell 8-4 0.639 165 0.495 104 Loyola Marymount 8-4 0.633 115 0.527 105 UCLA 6-3 0.633 125 0.521 106 Bowling Green 6-2 0.632 284 0.404 107 Louisiana St. 6-3 0.632 190 0.482 108 Michigan 8-5 0.631 121 0.522 109 Winthrop 8-4 0.629 180 0.486 110 Eastern Kentucky* 8-3 0.629 288 0.398 111 Buffalo 7-2 0.626 203 0.471 112 Akron 6-3 0.625 261 0.428 113 Gardner Webb* 5-4 0.625 127 0.520 114 Cal Irvine 6-3 0.623 217 0.466 115 Evansville 7-3 0.620 212 0.468 116 Wofford 7-4 0.620 240 0.446 117 Oregon St. 9-3 0.619 254 0.438 118 Ohio 5-3 0.612 216 0.467 119 California 7-4 0.611 195 0.478 120 South Carolina St.* 7-5 0.608 134 0.514 121 Missouri 7-5 0.607 88 0.544 122 Northwestern 7-5 0.599 86 0.546 123 Florida St. 7-6 0.597 163 0.495 124 College of Charleston 7-3 0.595 256 0.438 125 Ball St. 5-4 0.595 142 0.507 126 Pepperdine 9-5 0.595 168 0.492 127 Pennsylvania 4-4 0.595 28 0.615 128 Louisiana Lafayette 5-5 0.591 29 0.615 129 Memphis 7-6 0.590 132 0.516 130 George Mason 6-4 0.590 198 0.475 131 Lamar* 8-3 0.589 317 0.339 132 San Diego 8-5 0.589 241 0.446 133 Southern Methodist 5-4 0.588 144 0.506 134 South Florida 7-4 0.588 270 0.411 135 St. Francis PA* 6-4 0.586 104 0.533 136 Tennessee 6-5 0.583 130 0.518 137 Colorado St. 8-4 0.582 307 0.360 138 Wyoming 6-5 0.582 50 0.587 139 North Texas 7-4 0.581 151 0.500 140 Stanford 6-5 0.575 74 0.559 141 Dayton 6-4 0.573 157 0.497 142 Wisconsin Green Bay 7-3 0.573 152 0.500 143 Seton Hall 6-3 0.573 230 0.453 144 Massachusetts 6-3 0.572 116 0.527 145 Arkansas Little Rock 7-4 0.572 174 0.488 146 Toledo 4-5 0.571 36 0.606 147 Indiana 4-6 0.571 17 0.642 148 Middle Tennessee 8-4 0.568 292 0.392 149 Wright St. 6-6 0.565 83 0.548 150 Xavier 5-4 0.561 193 0.480 151 Central Florida 8-2 0.560 326 0.310 152 Murray St. 5-4 0.555 260 0.429 153 Mercer 6-2 0.553 285 0.401 154 Butler 5-5 0.552 264 0.424 155 American 5-4 0.551 123 0.521 156 Virginia Commonwealth 4-5 0.543 69 0.560 157 NC Wilmington 6-4 0.542 211 0.469 158 Cal Santa Barbara 4-5 0.540 47 0.595 159 Southern Mississippi 9-3 0.534 330 0.276 160 Virginia Tech 6-5 0.533 265 0.424 161 St. John's 6-4 0.533 255 0.438 162 Davidson 5-6 0.526 199 0.475 163 Cal St. Fullerton 5-4 0.523 186 0.483 164 Maine 6-4 0.522 237 0.448 165 NC Greensboro 7-4 0.522 201 0.474 166 Denver 5-5 0.521 231 0.453 167 Eastern Michigan 7-3 0.519 319 0.336 168 Texas San Antonio 4-5 0.516 155 0.497 169 Texas Pan American 7-5 0.515 269 0.412 170 Northern Arizona* 7-6 0.515 252 0.439 171 Northeastern 5-5 0.512 90 0.543 172 Lipscomb 6-2 0.512 323 0.322 173 Portland St. 8-4 0.511 308 0.358 174 Saint Joseph's 3-6 0.509 13 0.654 175 Southeastern Louisiana 7-5 0.507 312 0.350 176 Florida International 7-5 0.506 179 0.487 177 IUPUI 6-5 0.505 183 0.485 178 Southern Utah 7-4 0.504 291 0.393 179 Sam Houston St. 5-6 0.502 177 0.488 180 St. Peter's 5-5 0.501 202 0.474 181 Albany 5-5 0.499 243 0.445 182 Penn St. 6-6 0.496 228 0.454 183 Arkansas St. 6-5 0.496 286 0.400 184 Drexel 4-5 0.495 108 0.531 185 Columbia 7-3 0.492 311 0.355 186 San Diego St. 5-7 0.492 124 0.521 187 Fairfield 5-5 0.480 148 0.504 188 Santa Clara 7-8 0.480 159 0.497 189 Brigham Young 5-8 0.479 85 0.547 190 Appalachian St. 5-5 0.478 191 0.482 191 Valparaiso 4-8 0.475 10 0.680 192 Manhattan 4-4 0.472 149 0.503 193 Samford 5-6 0.469 251 0.439 194 Yale 3-7 0.468 18 0.640 195 Drake 4-5 0.468 63 0.567 196 Brown 6-5 0.466 225 0.458 197 Idaho St. 6-5 0.463 304 0.366 198 Cal Riverside 4-6 0.459 112 0.529 199 The Citadel 8-2 0.456 332 0.225 200 Montana 5-7 0.455 65 0.564 201 Northwestern St. 5-8 0.455 122 0.522 202 Purdue 3-6 0.455 24 0.618 203 Oakland 2-8 0.454 9 0.691 204 Eastern Illinois 5-5 0.454 145 0.506 205 Central Michigan 5-4 0.452 224 0.458 206 Cal St. Northridge 3-7 0.450 106 0.532 207 Texas Arlington 5-4 0.449 235 0.450 208 Indiana St. 5-7 0.449 136 0.511 209 Central Connecticut 3-6 0.449 51 0.587 210 Georgia 6-4 0.447 290 0.393 211 East Carolina 4-7 0.446 46 0.597 212 Delaware St. 3-9 0.434 6 0.698 213 La Salle 3-7 0.434 42 0.600 214 McNeese St. 5-6 0.434 297 0.387 215 Illinois Chicago 4-7 0.433 105 0.533 216 Fairleigh Dickinson 5-7 0.433 200 0.475 217 Tennessee St. 5-8 0.432 101 0.536 218 Howard 4-6 0.429 110 0.531 219 Mississippi Valley St.* 2-7 0.426 11 0.677 220 Tennessee Tech 5-6 0.422 277 0.408 221 Baylor 6-3 0.417 331 0.270 222 Western Carolina 5-9 0.416 131 0.517 223 Marshall 2-7 0.414 15 0.648 224 Robert Morris 3-7 0.412 68 0.560 225 Stony Brook 5-5 0.411 259 0.430 226 Rider 5-5 0.407 281 0.406 227 Georgia Southern 5-6 0.407 274 0.409 228 Iona 4-7 0.405 205 0.471 229 Fordham 4-6 0.403 197 0.477 230 Tulane 6-5 0.402 321 0.323 231 Georgia St. 3-7 0.401 26 0.616 232 Tulsa 2-7 0.401 111 0.531 233 Austin Peay 2-9 0.401 12 0.665 234 Southeast Missouri St. 4-6 0.399 238 0.447 235 Louisiana Monroe 6-5 0.398 280 0.406 236 Binghamton 3-7 0.396 23 0.618 237 Belmont 2-7 0.395 44 0.599 238 Detroit 4-7 0.395 128 0.520 239 Quinnipiac 4-5 0.395 215 0.467 240 High Point 4-8 0.392 258 0.433 241 Florida A&M 2-7 0.391 1 0.754 242 Western Illinois 4-7 0.389 170 0.490 243 St. Francis NY 3-5 0.387 167 0.492 244 Stephen F. Austin 5-5 0.384 327 0.308 245 NC Asheville 3-8 0.382 21 0.622 246 New Hampshire 4-6 0.380 162 0.496 247 East Tennessee St. 4-7 0.378 249 0.442 248 New Mexico St. 4-7 0.376 137 0.510 249 Cleveland St. 3-5 0.376 239 0.447 250 Nicholls St. 5-6 0.375 266 0.420 251 Bethune Cookman 3-6 0.375 56 0.576 252 Harvard 4-8 0.374 109 0.531 253 Long Beach St. 2-9 0.373 25 0.617 254 Delaware 4-7 0.369 118 0.526 255 Texas St. 6-4 0.369 329 0.304 256 Chicago St. 1-7 0.365 7 0.697 257 Eastern Washington 3-9 0.362 19 0.628 258 Marist 4-7 0.361 204 0.471 259 Cal Davis 5-7 0.357 250 0.441 260 Coppin St. 2-9 0.354 2 0.750 261 New Orleans 5-7 0.353 219 0.465 262 Loyola Chicago 2-9 0.350 40 0.603 263 Lehigh 5-6 0.348 303 0.368 264 Jacksonville St. 4-8 0.344 207 0.470 265 Weber St. 4-7 0.344 227 0.455 266 Boise St. 6-5 0.338 322 0.322 267 Stetson 3-6 0.338 49 0.591 268 Rhode Island 2-8 0.334 66 0.562 269 Long Island 4-6 0.334 178 0.487 270 Virginia Military Inst 5-4 0.334 314 0.345 271 Radford 5-6 0.333 301 0.375 272 Utah Valley St. 4-8 0.333 233 0.452 273 William & Mary 4-5 0.331 263 0.427 274 San Jose St. 3-7 0.331 79 0.552 275 Hartford 3-6 0.328 221 0.463 276 Montana St. 5-7 0.328 309 0.356 277 Duquesne 3-10 0.327 81 0.550 278 Morehead St. 6-5 0.326 298 0.382 279 Tennessee Martin 3-8 0.321 72 0.559 280 South Alabama 3-8 0.317 147 0.504 281 Norfolk St. 3-6 0.316 248 0.442 282 Colgate 4-8 0.313 276 0.408 283 Texas Southern 2-6 0.311 156 0.497 284 Coastal Carolina 3-8 0.306 257 0.434 285 Alabama A&M 3-7 0.305 206 0.470 286 Grambling 3-4 0.305 169 0.491 287 Lafayette 3-7 0.305 181 0.485 288 Towson 3-8 0.302 185 0.484 289 MD Baltimore County 5-5 0.300 325 0.316 290 Missouri Kansas City 0-7 0.299 5 0.719 291 James Madison 2-7 0.297 67 0.561 292 Monmouth 2-7 0.292 73 0.559 293 Jackson St. 4-8 0.291 113 0.529 294 Hampton 3-9 0.286 94 0.539 295 Florida Atlantic 1-8 0.283 34 0.607 296 Southern 3-6 0.282 229 0.454 297 St. Louis 2-10 0.281 61 0.569 298 Northern Colorado 3-12 0.281 32 0.610 299 Jacksonville 5-4 0.276 328 0.307 300 Idaho 2-9 0.275 194 0.479 301 Campbell 2-7 0.275 14 0.648 302 Sacramento St. 3-9 0.269 126 0.520 303 Arkansas Pine Bluff 2-7 0.269 16 0.643 304 Morgan St. 3-8 0.268 166 0.494 305 Cal Poly 3-6 0.260 275 0.409 306 Elon 2-10 0.258 75 0.557 307 Alabama St. 2-7 0.254 62 0.569 308 Mount St. Mary's 3-6 0.252 305 0.365 309 IUPU Fort Wayne 3-10 0.251 146 0.505 310 Cornell 3-7 0.249 289 0.395 311 Troy 2-9 0.244 89 0.543 312 North Dakota St. 4-8 0.243 316 0.341 313 Centenary 2-8 0.239 59 0.571 314 Dartmouth 3-7 0.236 287 0.398 315 Siena 2-9 0.234 129 0.518 316 Canisius 1-8 0.218 172 0.490 317 Navy 4-7 0.216 324 0.321 318 Liberty 2-8 0.216 80 0.551 319 Charleston Southern 2-7 0.212 175 0.488 320 Wagner 1-9 0.193 95 0.539 321 Loyola MD 1-8 0.186 171 0.490 322 Youngstown St. 3-8 0.179 300 0.377 323 South Dakota St. 2-10 0.179 262 0.428 324 North Carolina A&T 1-11 0.177 39 0.603 325 Sacred Heart 1-9 0.177 84 0.548 326 Army 2-8 0.161 315 0.343 327 Alcorn St. 1-9 0.149 71 0.560 328 St. Bonaventure 1-10 0.130 184 0.484 329 Longwood 1-16 0.124 120 0.523 330 Maryland Eastern Shore 1-9 0.093 150 0.501 331 Prairie View A&M 0-9 0.080 8 0.695 332 Wild Card U. 12-265 0.080 52 0.587 333 Savannah St. 0-16 0.052 188 0.482
The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences: 1 Atlantic Coast 0.787 2 Big East 0.739 3 Big Twelve 0.735 4 Southeastern 0.728 5 Pacific 10 0.713 6 Big Ten 0.708 7 Missouri Valley 0.674 8 West Coast 0.647 9 Conference USA 0.631 10 Mountain West 0.625 11 Mid-American 0.606 12 Western Athletic 0.576 13 Sun Belt 0.513 14 Colonial 0.509 15 Big West 0.504 16 Atlantic 10 0.503 17 Southern 0.499 18 America East 0.485 19 Horizon 0.462 20 Southland 0.453 21 Ivy League 0.446 22 Mid-Continent 0.443 23 Ohio Valley 0.432 24 Big Sky 0.406 25 Patriot 0.406 26 Atlantic Sun 0.406 27 Metro Atlantic 0.391 28 Big South 0.385 29 Northeast 0.355 30 Mideastern Athletic 0.339 31 Independents 0.305 32 Southwestern Athletic 0.267
ARGH System Predictions for games of 1-1-05: ALABAMA 27 over New Orleans, total 145 UTEP 10 over BOISE ST, total 137 FRESNO ST 15 over San Jose St, total 124 KANSAS 15 over Georgia Tech, total 149 MINNESOTA 19 over Coppin St, total 122 NEVADA 5 over Hawaii, total 128 PORTLAND ST 11 over Weber St, total 126 RICE 6 over La Tech, total 127 SETON HALL 19 over Liberty, total 129 TAMU-CC 18 over Chicago St, total 133 TEXAS TECH 11 over San Francisco, total 149 SMU 2 over TULSA, total 128 WESTERN KY 19 over Fordham, total 134
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