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ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings
The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 1-2-05. Home court advantage is 0.641, or about 5.40 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.
Rank Team Record Rating Schedule 1 Duke* 9-0 0.942 173 0.490 2 Illinois* 14-0 0.939 103 0.535 3 Kansas* 9-0 0.938 55 0.580 4 North Carolina* 12-1 0.911 107 0.532 5 Oklahoma St.* 9-1 0.911 95 0.538 6 West Virginia* 10-0 0.892 270 0.417 7 Wake Forest* 12-1 0.892 19 0.634 8 Washington* 12-1 0.868 119 0.520 9 Kentucky* 9-1 0.867 235 0.451 10 Arkansas* 12-1 0.866 283 0.406 11 Cincinnati* 11-1 0.860 211 0.472 12 Boston College* 11-0 0.860 230 0.453 13 Arizona* 11-2 0.858 30 0.612 14 Wisconsin* 9-2 0.857 60 0.572 15 Iowa* 12-1 0.856 93 0.538 16 Georgia Tech* 9-2 0.849 181 0.486 17 Oklahoma* 10-2 0.849 149 0.506 18 Texas A&M* 11-0 0.842 333 0.217 19 Wichita St.* 9-0 0.839 199 0.481 20 Pittsburgh* 10-1 0.837 291 0.398 21 Syracuse* 13-1 0.836 275 0.410 22 Connecticut* 8-1 0.834 294 0.394 23 Michigan St.* 8-2 0.828 171 0.491 24 Gonzaga* 10-2 0.825 43 0.593 25 Texas* 10-2 0.823 207 0.477 26 Mississippi St.* 12-2 0.823 164 0.497 27 Alabama* 11-2 0.821 106 0.532 28 Virginia* 8-2 0.818 39 0.601 29 Texas Tech* 7-3 0.816 91 0.539 30 Louisville* 11-2 0.807 293 0.396 31 George Washington* 8-2 0.806 49 0.588 32 Ohio St.* 11-2 0.804 247 0.442 33 Maryland* 8-2 0.803 185 0.485 34 Hofstra* 9-1 0.802 201 0.481 35 Marquette* 12-1 0.799 266 0.420 36 South Carolina* 8-3 0.790 66 0.569 37 Oregon* 9-2 0.788 70 0.561 38 Arizona St.* 11-2 0.782 219 0.467 39 Southern Illinois* 11-2 0.780 200 0.481 40 UAB* 10-3 0.774 77 0.552 41 Pacific* 8-2 0.772 81 0.550 42 Clemson* 9-4 0.770 82 0.548 43 Western Kentucky* 10-1 0.767 288 0.399 44 Old Dominion* 11-2 0.766 280 0.407 45 Vermont* 6-3 0.765 69 0.561 46 Villanova* 7-1 0.764 305 0.371 47 Florida* 8-3 0.761 262 0.426 48 Minnesota* 9-3 0.760 131 0.512 49 Boston University 8-3 0.759 85 0.545 50 Western Michigan* 9-3 0.756 88 0.544 51 Northern Iowa 9-2 0.751 246 0.442 52 Utah St. 9-3 0.750 239 0.447 53 Oral Roberts* 9-3 0.749 186 0.485 54 Charlotte 9-2 0.748 218 0.467 55 Texas El Paso* 11-2 0.744 306 0.364 56 Southwest Missouri St. 7-3 0.743 117 0.520 57 North Carolina St. 10-3 0.738 263 0.423 58 New Mexico* 12-2 0.735 320 0.332 59 Kent St. 8-4 0.735 54 0.581 60 Wisconsin Milwaukee* 7-3 0.734 174 0.490 61 Utah 10-3 0.732 237 0.450 62 Vanderbilt 9-4 0.728 113 0.524 63 Holy Cross* 7-4 0.723 37 0.603 64 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 9-3 0.718 193 0.482 65 Creighton 9-4 0.717 102 0.535 66 Miami FL 9-2 0.715 273 0.414 67 Nevada 9-3 0.715 220 0.466 68 Providence 8-4 0.711 96 0.537 69 DePaul 8-3 0.704 118 0.520 70 Bradley 8-2 0.702 159 0.499 71 UCLA 7-3 0.700 59 0.572 72 Temple 4-5 0.700 4 0.726 73 Georgetown 8-3 0.698 209 0.475 74 Portland 11-4 0.698 176 0.489 75 Nevada Las Vegas 6-5 0.697 16 0.640 76 Air Force 7-5 0.697 83 0.545 77 Iowa St. 8-2 0.696 233 0.452 78 Richmond 5-5 0.693 3 0.726 79 Texas Christian 9-4 0.693 145 0.507 80 Mississippi 9-4 0.693 221 0.465 81 Hawaii 8-2 0.692 161 0.498 82 Rice 7-3 0.688 151 0.505 83 Princeton* 8-4 0.688 41 0.598 84 Auburn 9-4 0.688 109 0.531 85 Bucknell 9-4 0.686 101 0.535 86 Chattanooga* 6-3 0.685 279 0.408 87 Miami OH 6-3 0.683 94 0.538 88 Kansas St. 9-1 0.682 313 0.346 89 St. Mary's 11-4 0.682 243 0.445 90 Houston 8-5 0.671 26 0.618 91 Nebraska 6-4 0.665 225 0.460 92 Illinois St. 9-3 0.663 249 0.441 93 Colorado 7-3 0.662 76 0.553 94 Notre Dame 8-2 0.657 312 0.347 95 Birmingham Southern* 7-4 0.657 134 0.511 96 Bowling Green 7-2 0.656 268 0.419 97 Southern California 7-6 0.655 22 0.622 98 Rutgers 6-4 0.652 64 0.569 99 Niagara* 7-4 0.650 214 0.470 100 Akron 7-3 0.645 260 0.427 101 Oregon St. 10-3 0.644 238 0.448 102 California 8-4 0.638 196 0.481 103 Northern Illinois 5-5 0.637 35 0.605 104 Louisiana St. 6-3 0.636 180 0.486 105 Michigan 8-5 0.635 112 0.526 106 Furman 7-5 0.632 272 0.414 107 Southern Methodist 6-4 0.632 115 0.522 108 Ball St. 6-4 0.631 122 0.518 109 Florida St. 8-6 0.630 141 0.508 110 Loyola Marymount 8-4 0.625 121 0.519 111 San Francisco 8-4 0.625 154 0.503 112 Eastern Kentucky* 8-3 0.624 296 0.393 113 Winthrop 9-4 0.621 252 0.438 114 Gardner Webb* 5-4 0.621 126 0.516 115 Wofford 7-4 0.619 241 0.446 116 Evansville 7-4 0.617 150 0.505 117 Fresno St. 8-3 0.616 285 0.402 118 Cal Irvine 6-3 0.613 228 0.456 119 Louisiana Tech 6-5 0.611 33 0.609 120 Indiana 5-6 0.608 20 0.633 121 Buffalo 7-3 0.606 157 0.500 122 South Carolina St.* 7-5 0.606 133 0.512 123 Missouri 7-5 0.605 90 0.542 124 Washington St. 6-5 0.603 21 0.625 125 Seton Hall 7-3 0.603 271 0.416 126 Tennessee 7-5 0.603 175 0.490 127 Northwestern 7-5 0.598 86 0.545 128 Pennsylvania 4-4 0.598 25 0.619 129 College of Charleston 8-3 0.598 281 0.407 130 Pepperdine 9-5 0.593 172 0.490 131 South Florida 7-4 0.588 274 0.411 132 Memphis 7-6 0.587 129 0.513 133 George Mason 6-4 0.587 212 0.472 134 Lamar* 8-3 0.586 319 0.337 135 Stanford 6-6 0.584 47 0.590 136 Dayton 6-4 0.583 143 0.507 137 St. Francis PA* 6-4 0.583 110 0.530 138 Colorado St. 8-4 0.582 307 0.360 139 North Texas 7-4 0.581 158 0.500 140 Wyoming 6-5 0.577 52 0.583 141 San Diego 8-5 0.576 256 0.433 142 Ohio 5-4 0.575 178 0.488 143 Middle Tennessee 9-4 0.575 298 0.388 144 Louisiana Lafayette 5-6 0.568 17 0.640 145 Wright St. 6-6 0.568 78 0.551 146 American 6-4 0.568 137 0.510 147 Wisconsin Green Bay 7-3 0.565 168 0.492 148 Xavier 5-4 0.564 192 0.483 149 Arkansas Little Rock 8-4 0.559 248 0.441 150 Toledo 4-6 0.559 24 0.620 151 Central Florida 8-2 0.555 329 0.305 152 Mercer 6-2 0.552 286 0.400 153 Butler 5-5 0.550 264 0.423 154 Massachusetts 6-4 0.543 79 0.551 155 Murray St. 5-5 0.536 210 0.474 156 NC Wilmington 6-4 0.535 223 0.462 157 Maine 7-4 0.534 258 0.429 158 Virginia Commonwealth 4-6 0.534 57 0.578 159 Southern Mississippi 9-3 0.534 331 0.276 160 Eastern Michigan 8-3 0.532 318 0.337 161 Virginia Tech 6-5 0.530 265 0.421 162 Davidson 5-7 0.527 156 0.501 163 Cal St. Fullerton 5-4 0.522 195 0.481 164 St. John's 6-4 0.521 261 0.427 165 NC Greensboro 7-4 0.518 213 0.471 166 IUPUI 6-5 0.515 166 0.494 167 Portland St.* 9-4 0.515 314 0.345 168 Northern Arizona 7-6 0.514 251 0.439 169 Denver 5-5 0.513 242 0.445 170 Northeastern 6-5 0.512 135 0.511 171 Lipscomb 6-2 0.511 321 0.322 172 St. Peter's 5-5 0.509 198 0.481 173 Southeastern Louisiana 7-5 0.507 311 0.350 174 Saint Joseph's 3-6 0.507 13 0.651 175 Texas San Antonio 4-5 0.503 188 0.484 176 Florida International 7-5 0.503 189 0.483 177 Fairfield 6-5 0.501 202 0.480 178 Drexel 4-5 0.499 99 0.536 179 Arkansas St. 6-5 0.493 290 0.398 180 Texas Pan American 7-6 0.493 229 0.456 181 Purdue 4-6 0.493 50 0.587 182 Sam Houston St. 5-6 0.493 203 0.478 183 Southern Utah 7-4 0.491 301 0.382 184 Cal St. Northridge 4-7 0.485 125 0.517 185 Central Michigan 6-4 0.485 224 0.461 186 Cal Santa Barbara 4-6 0.480 53 0.583 187 Drake 4-6 0.479 40 0.601 188 Penn St. 6-7 0.477 226 0.458 189 San Diego St. 5-7 0.477 148 0.506 190 Manhattan 4-4 0.477 142 0.508 191 Santa Clara 7-8 0.475 169 0.492 192 Appalachian St. 5-5 0.474 206 0.478 193 Samford 5-6 0.473 245 0.443 194 Valparaiso 4-8 0.473 10 0.677 195 Albany 5-6 0.470 244 0.445 196 Yale 3-7 0.469 18 0.640 197 Brigham Young 5-8 0.468 100 0.536 198 Cal Riverside 4-6 0.464 105 0.534 199 Oakland 2-8 0.461 8 0.697 200 Brown 6-5 0.460 232 0.453 201 Columbia 7-4 0.454 309 0.355 202 Georgia 6-4 0.454 287 0.400 203 Northwestern St. 5-8 0.453 120 0.520 204 Texas Arlington 5-4 0.450 236 0.451 205 The Citadel 8-2 0.450 332 0.220 206 Indiana St. 5-8 0.447 104 0.534 207 Illinois Chicago 4-7 0.443 89 0.543 208 East Carolina 4-7 0.440 44 0.592 209 Central Connecticut 4-6 0.434 108 0.532 210 Montana 6-7 0.433 140 0.508 211 Idaho St. 6-6 0.432 295 0.393 212 Delaware St. 3-9 0.428 9 0.693 213 New Hampshire 5-6 0.427 170 0.491 214 Baylor 6-3 0.427 330 0.278 215 McNeese St. 5-6 0.427 302 0.381 216 Fairleigh Dickinson 5-7 0.426 216 0.468 217 Tennessee St. 5-9 0.426 65 0.569 218 Eastern Illinois 5-6 0.426 123 0.518 219 La Salle 3-7 0.425 45 0.591 220 Tennessee Tech 5-6 0.423 277 0.409 221 Howard 4-6 0.419 116 0.521 222 Mississippi Valley St.* 2-7 0.418 11 0.669 223 Detroit 4-7 0.412 98 0.537 224 Western Carolina 5-9 0.412 128 0.513 225 Robert Morris 3-7 0.410 73 0.558 226 Southeast Missouri St. 5-6 0.407 289 0.399 227 Austin Peay 2-9 0.404 12 0.667 228 Louisiana Monroe 6-5 0.401 276 0.409 229 Georgia Southern 5-6 0.401 284 0.403 230 Tulane 6-5 0.401 323 0.321 231 Georgia St. 3-7 0.400 28 0.615 232 Fordham 4-7 0.398 127 0.515 233 Rider 5-5 0.398 292 0.397 234 Belmont 2-7 0.397 38 0.601 235 Western Illinois 4-7 0.392 167 0.493 236 Stephen F. Austin 5-5 0.390 324 0.313 237 Florida A&M 2-7 0.389 2 0.752 238 High Point 4-8 0.388 257 0.430 239 Quinnipiac 5-5 0.387 269 0.418 240 Iona 4-8 0.385 187 0.484 241 Stony Brook 5-6 0.383 253 0.437 242 Harvard 5-8 0.383 147 0.506 243 NC Asheville 3-8 0.382 23 0.621 244 St. Francis NY 3-5 0.380 183 0.485 245 Binghamton 3-8 0.379 29 0.613 246 Bethune Cookman 3-6 0.378 56 0.580 247 New Mexico St. 4-7 0.377 136 0.510 248 Cleveland St. 3-5 0.375 240 0.446 249 Nicholls St. 5-6 0.375 267 0.420 250 Marshall 2-8 0.374 27 0.617 251 East Tennessee St. 4-7 0.373 254 0.437 252 Texas St. 6-4 0.372 328 0.307 253 New Orleans 5-8 0.369 153 0.504 254 Lehigh 6-6 0.369 310 0.354 255 Marist 4-7 0.368 204 0.478 256 Long Beach St. 2-9 0.366 31 0.610 257 Tulsa 2-8 0.366 114 0.522 258 Coppin St. 2-10 0.360 1 0.766 259 Loyola Chicago 2-9 0.352 36 0.605 260 Cal Davis 5-7 0.352 255 0.436 261 Chicago St. 1-8 0.351 5 0.718 262 Jacksonville St. 4-8 0.340 222 0.465 263 Lafayette 4-7 0.339 194 0.482 264 Stetson 3-6 0.337 46 0.590 265 Delaware 4-8 0.335 152 0.504 266 Weber St. 4-8 0.333 217 0.468 267 Radford 5-6 0.333 304 0.374 268 Rhode Island 2-9 0.330 68 0.563 269 San Jose St. 3-8 0.330 67 0.565 270 William & Mary 4-6 0.328 191 0.483 271 Duquesne 3-10 0.328 80 0.550 272 Virginia Military Inst 5-4 0.328 317 0.339 273 Boise St. 6-6 0.326 315 0.342 274 Long Island 4-6 0.326 205 0.478 275 Morehead St. 6-5 0.322 303 0.378 276 Norfolk St. 3-7 0.322 182 0.486 277 Tennessee Martin 3-8 0.322 72 0.560 278 Utah Valley St. 4-8 0.321 250 0.439 279 Texas Southern 2-6 0.320 144 0.507 280 South Alabama 3-8 0.319 146 0.506 281 Eastern Washington 3-10 0.319 48 0.588 282 Grambling 3-4 0.312 160 0.499 283 Montana St. 5-8 0.311 299 0.387 284 Colgate 4-8 0.311 282 0.406 285 Alabama A&M 3-7 0.310 208 0.476 286 Idaho 3-9 0.302 215 0.469 287 Towson 3-8 0.301 190 0.483 288 Hartford 3-7 0.298 163 0.498 289 James Madison 2-7 0.294 74 0.557 290 Jackson St. 4-8 0.291 111 0.529 291 Missouri Kansas City 0-7 0.291 6 0.711 292 Coastal Carolina 3-9 0.286 227 0.458 293 Hampton 3-9 0.286 92 0.538 294 St. Louis 2-10 0.282 63 0.570 295 Cornell 4-7 0.282 297 0.392 296 Northern Colorado 3-12 0.281 32 0.610 297 Southern 3-6 0.280 234 0.452 298 Jacksonville 5-4 0.276 327 0.307 299 Florida Atlantic 1-8 0.274 42 0.596 300 Arkansas Pine Bluff 2-7 0.273 14 0.648 301 Morgan St. 3-8 0.271 162 0.498 302 Campbell 2-7 0.271 15 0.643 303 Cal Poly 3-7 0.268 231 0.453 304 Siena 3-9 0.267 138 0.509 305 Sacramento St. 3-9 0.263 130 0.512 306 Monmouth 2-8 0.256 124 0.518 307 Alabama St. 2-7 0.256 62 0.571 308 Elon 2-10 0.256 75 0.555 309 MD Baltimore County 5-6 0.256 326 0.308 310 IUPU Fort Wayne 3-11 0.255 84 0.545 311 Mount St. Mary's 3-6 0.245 308 0.357 312 Troy 2-9 0.245 87 0.544 313 Centenary 2-8 0.244 58 0.577 314 North Dakota St. 4-8 0.242 316 0.339 315 Dartmouth 3-8 0.238 278 0.408 316 Canisius 1-9 0.214 132 0.512 317 Charleston Southern 2-7 0.211 177 0.488 318 Navy 4-7 0.207 325 0.308 319 Liberty 2-9 0.206 61 0.571 320 Loyola MD 1-9 0.185 179 0.488 321 Youngstown St. 3-8 0.183 300 0.383 322 North Carolina A&T 1-11 0.180 34 0.609 323 South Dakota St. 2-10 0.179 259 0.428 324 Sacred Heart 1-9 0.170 97 0.537 325 Wagner 1-10 0.161 155 0.501 326 Alcorn St. 1-9 0.149 71 0.560 327 Army 2-9 0.142 322 0.321 328 St. Bonaventure 1-10 0.131 184 0.485 329 Longwood 1-17 0.121 139 0.509 330 Maryland Eastern Shore 1-9 0.091 165 0.496 331 Prairie View A&M 0-9 0.082 7 0.698 332 Wild Card U. 12-269 0.080 51 0.585 333 Savannah St. 0-16 0.051 197 0.481
The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences: 1 Atlantic Coast 0.782 2 Big Twelve 0.743 3 Big East 0.739 4 Southeastern 0.727 5 Big Ten 0.714 6 Pacific 10 0.712 7 Missouri Valley 0.674 8 West Coast 0.637 9 Conference USA 0.635 10 Mountain West 0.621 11 Mid-American 0.606 12 Western Athletic 0.572 13 Sun Belt 0.511 14 Big West 0.502 15 Atlantic 10 0.501 16 Colonial 0.498 17 Southern 0.495 18 America East 0.478 19 Horizon 0.465 20 Southland 0.450 21 Ivy League 0.446 22 Mid-Continent 0.441 23 Ohio Valley 0.428 24 Patriot 0.418 25 Atlantic Sun 0.404 26 Metro Atlantic 0.395 27 Big Sky 0.390 28 Big South 0.379 29 Northeast 0.344 30 Mideastern Athletic 0.339 31 Independents 0.301 32 Southwestern Athletic 0.269
ARGH System Predictions for games of 1-3-05: AIR FORCE 22 over Navy, total 123 ALABAMA A&M 5 over Grambling, total 140 ALABAMA ST 3 over Jackson St, total 115 ALCORN ST 11 over Prairie View A&M, total 133 Miss Valley St 1 over ARK-PINE BLUFF, total 130 Chattanooga 5 over AUSTIN PEAY, total 126 BAYLOR 9 over Chicago St, total 143 CAMPBELL Pick 'em over Belmont, total 137 Robert Morris 3 over CHARLESTON SO, total 121 GARDNER-WEBB 10 over Lipscomb, total 149 UCF Pick 'em over GEORGIA ST, total 135 HIGH POINT 8 over Utah Valley St, total 144 IUPUI 14 over UMKC, total 141 JACKSONVILLE 3 over Stetson, total 133 UNC Wilmington 4 over JAMES MADISON, total 125 LOYOLA-CHICAGO 4 over Cleveland St, total 135 MERCER 18 over Florida Atl, total 154 MINNESOTA 12 over Loyola-Marymount, total 143 NORTHERN IOWA 9 over Illinois St, total 140 OAKLAND 15 over Centenary, total 147 PEPPERDINE 6 over Colorado St, total 151 PROVIDENCE 18 over Brown, total 163 SAN DIEGO ST 18 over South Dakota St, total 133 Bethune-Cookman 17 over SAVANNAH ST, total 137 Seton Hall 12 over Morgan St, total 128 SOUTHERN U 4 over Texas Southern, total 148 ST. PETER'S 11 over Rider, total 155 Oklahoma St 7 over TAMU-CC, total 133 TCU 19 over Texas St, total 145 New Mexico 6 over TX-ARLINGTON, total 152 TX-SAN ANTONIO 11 over New Mexico St, total 146 UTAH 10 over LSU, total 141 WESTERN CAR 7 over Georgia So, total 158 WICHITA ST 25 over Manhattan, total 161 WIS-GREEN BAY 5 over Wright St, total 124 WIS-MILWAUKEE 17 over Detroit, total 127 XAVIER Pick 'em over Iowa State, total 137 Illinois-Chi 6 over YOUNGSTOWN ST, total 140
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