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ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings!

ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 1-16-05. Home court advantage is 0.634, or about 5.16 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.

Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule
  1 Kansas*                    13-0   0.951    3  0.674
  2 Duke*                      13-0   0.949   62  0.569
  3 Illinois*                  18-0   0.941   82  0.550
  4 Oklahoma St.*              13-1   0.933   30  0.603
  5 Wake Forest*               15-1   0.911    9  0.650
  6 North Carolina*            14-2   0.907   35  0.596
  7 Boston College*            14-0   0.895  111  0.532
  8 Syracuse*                  17-1   0.882  171  0.495
  9 Washington*                15-2   0.881   57  0.575
 10 Oklahoma*                  13-2   0.875  107  0.534
 11 Kentucky*                  12-2   0.872   98  0.539
 12 Cincinnati*                14-2   0.850  151  0.505
 13 Arizona*                   14-3   0.847   17  0.626
 14 Louisville*                14-3   0.847  172  0.494
 15 Mississippi St.*           15-3   0.845   90  0.543
 16 Wisconsin*                 12-3   0.843   29  0.605
 17 Georgia Tech*              11-4   0.841   39  0.593
 18 Michigan St.*              10-3   0.838  104  0.535
 19 Florida*                   11-3   0.833  136  0.514
 20 Gonzaga*                   13-3   0.829   21  0.618
 21 Alabama*                   13-3   0.824   49  0.583
 22 Texas*                     13-3   0.822  134  0.517
 23 Iowa*                      13-3   0.818   44  0.586
 24 Texas Tech*                10-4   0.816   68  0.561
 25 Connecticut*               10-3   0.813  131  0.520
 26 Pittsburgh*                12-2   0.798  269  0.429
 27 Southern Illinois*         14-3   0.797   95  0.541
 28 Pacific*                   12-2   0.789  100  0.539
 29 Arkansas*                  13-4   0.788  190  0.480
 30 Vermont*                   11-3   0.785  132  0.519
 31 Wichita St.*               11-2   0.784  105  0.535
 32 Western Michigan*          12-3   0.783   89  0.544
 33 Old Dominion*              15-2   0.781  301  0.392
 34 Oregon*                    11-3   0.780   36  0.595
 35 Villanova*                  9-3   0.779  140  0.511
 36 Ohio St.*                  12-5   0.776   63  0.569
 37 Texas A&M*                 12-2   0.775  318  0.352
 38 Utah*                      14-3   0.774  257  0.440
 39 Marquette*                 14-2   0.771  240  0.450
 40 George Washington*         11-3   0.770  163  0.502
 41 Charlotte*                 12-2   0.770  195  0.476
 42 Minnesota*                 12-4   0.768  135  0.516
 43 Maryland*                  10-4   0.766   93  0.542
 44 UAB*                       13-4   0.763   76  0.556
 45 Arizona St.*               13-4   0.761  123  0.524
 46 UCLA*                      10-4   0.761   13  0.640
 47 Texas El Paso*             14-3   0.760  288  0.406
 48 Vanderbilt*                11-6   0.758   23  0.609
 49 Boston University*         11-4   0.756  166  0.500
 50 South Carolina*            10-5   0.753   45  0.586
 51 Clemson                    10-6   0.751   22  0.612
 52 Miami FL                   12-3   0.751  143  0.510
 53 Georgetown                 11-4   0.749   66  0.562
 54 Temple                      6-7   0.743    1  0.738
 55 Northern Iowa              12-4   0.741  160  0.502
 56 Virginia                    9-5   0.740   10  0.648
 57 Wisconsin Milwaukee*       11-4   0.738  211  0.469
 58 Chattanooga*               11-3   0.736  293  0.402
 59 New Mexico                 14-3   0.735  311  0.376
 60 North Carolina St.         11-5   0.733  147  0.506
 61 West Virginia              11-3   0.727  209  0.470
 62 Nevada                     12-4   0.726  182  0.489
 63 Oral Roberts*              12-4   0.720  227  0.461
 64 Holy Cross*                10-5   0.719   85  0.548
 65 Michigan                   12-5   0.716   79  0.553
 66 DePaul                     10-4   0.710   80  0.553
 67 Creighton                  11-6   0.706   60  0.572
 68 Notre Dame                 11-3   0.706  233  0.456
 69 Air Force                  11-6   0.704  156  0.503
 70 Princeton*                  8-5   0.701    8  0.653
 71 St. Mary's                 15-5   0.699  219  0.466
 72 Western Kentucky*          10-4   0.693  189  0.482
 73 Bucknell                   12-4   0.693  178  0.490
 74 Utah St.                   11-5   0.693  234  0.455
 75 Bowling Green              10-3   0.686  223  0.463
 76 Nebraska                    8-5   0.685  150  0.505
 77 Hawaii                     10-3   0.684  202  0.473
 78 Providence                  9-7   0.683   50  0.583
 79 Texas Christian            12-5   0.681  146  0.507
 80 Louisiana St.               8-5   0.680   51  0.583
 81 Bradley                    10-4   0.679   91  0.543
 82 Mississippi                11-6   0.679  121  0.524
 83 Rice                        9-4   0.678  117  0.526
 84 Kent St.                   10-6   0.678   59  0.573
 85 Hofstra                    10-4   0.676  186  0.485
 86 Southwest Missouri St.      7-7   0.675   38  0.595
 87 Houston                    11-6   0.671   37  0.595
 88 Washington St.              8-7   0.671    6  0.655
 89 Iowa St.                    8-6   0.661   40  0.590
 90 Portland                   13-6   0.661  165  0.500
 91 Stanford                    8-7   0.658   14  0.637
 92 Furman                     10-6   0.655  270  0.429
 93 Indiana                     7-7   0.651    5  0.660
 94 Buffalo                    10-4   0.649  113  0.528
 95 Kansas St.                 11-3   0.644  305  0.386
 96 Middle Tennessee           12-5   0.644  252  0.445
 97 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     11-5   0.643  256  0.441
 98 Fresno St.                 11-4   0.636  250  0.446
 99 Rutgers                     6-7   0.636   11  0.647
100 Southern California         8-9   0.633    4  0.663
101 Akron                       9-5   0.632  200  0.473
102 Missouri                    9-7   0.632   32  0.597
103 Colorado                    8-6   0.631   18  0.625
104 Saint Joseph's              7-6   0.631   28  0.605
105 Southern Methodist          8-6   0.629   81  0.551
106 Illinois St.               11-5   0.628  198  0.475
107 Tennessee                   9-7   0.627   70  0.560
108 San Francisco              10-6   0.623  108  0.533
109 Denver                      8-6   0.621  153  0.504
110 Miami OH                    8-5   0.621  110  0.532
111 Toledo                      7-7   0.620   26  0.607
112 Pepperdine                 12-7   0.617  116  0.527
113 Memphis                     9-8   0.616   86  0.548
114 Evansville                  9-6   0.615  120  0.525
115 Auburn                      9-7   0.614   64  0.565
116 Florida St.                 9-8   0.612  128  0.522
117 Ball St.                    7-5   0.611  114  0.528
118 Niagara*                    9-6   0.601  226  0.461
119 Drexel                      7-6   0.600   72  0.559
120 Louisiana Lafayette         8-7   0.600   19  0.620
121 Nevada Las Vegas            7-7   0.598   56  0.577
122 Eastern Kentucky*          10-5   0.598  262  0.435
123 Massachusetts               8-6   0.591   27  0.607
124 Davidson                    9-7   0.590  175  0.493
125 Seton Hall                  8-6   0.585  152  0.505
126 Xavier                      7-6   0.585  161  0.502
127 Winthrop*                  12-5   0.579  300  0.393
128 Oregon St.                 10-6   0.579  129  0.521
129 Colorado St.                9-6   0.579  275  0.424
130 Loyola Marymount            9-8   0.578   47  0.584
131 Virginia Commonwealth       7-7   0.578   83  0.549
132 South Florida               8-6   0.578  230  0.458
133 Richmond                    6-8   0.577    7  0.654
134 San Diego                   9-7   0.577  177  0.491
135 Cal St. Northridge          8-7   0.576  148  0.506
136 Arkansas Little Rock       11-5   0.576  207  0.470
137 Wyoming                     8-7   0.573   61  0.570
138 Birmingham Southern         8-6   0.571  188  0.484
139 Wisconsin Green Bay        11-4   0.569  222  0.464
140 California                  8-7   0.569  109  0.533
141 Dayton                      9-5   0.568  229  0.458
142 College of Charleston      10-5   0.568  271  0.428
143 Ohio                        7-6   0.568  194  0.478
144 Northern Illinois           6-8   0.566   34  0.596
145 Lamar*                     10-4   0.563  323  0.342
146 Northwestern                8-8   0.560   55  0.577
147 Louisiana Tech              7-8   0.560   33  0.597
148 Pennsylvania                5-7   0.559   31  0.602
149 North Texas                 8-5   0.557  155  0.504
150 Cal Irvine                  7-6   0.554  174  0.493
151 NC Wilmington               9-5   0.554  247  0.447
152 Murray St.                  8-6   0.554  249  0.446
153 NC Greensboro              10-5   0.548  218  0.466
154 San Diego St.               8-7   0.548  158  0.502
155 IUPUI                       9-6   0.546  215  0.467
156 Santa Clara                 9-9   0.544  126  0.523
157 Cal St. Fullerton           8-5   0.542  243  0.449
158 Virginia Tech               8-6   0.541  265  0.432
159 Southeastern Louisiana     11-6   0.535  322  0.344
160 Northeastern                9-6   0.532  181  0.490
161 Portland St.*              12-4   0.531  329  0.320
162 Northwestern St.           10-8   0.531  213  0.467
163 Fairfield                   8-7   0.531  118  0.526
164 Wofford                     8-7   0.530  261  0.437
165 St. John's                  6-7   0.530  112  0.530
166 Manhattan                   7-6   0.528  183  0.488
167 Gardner Webb*               8-6   0.526  272  0.428
168 Illinois Chicago            8-7   0.526  164  0.501
169 Eastern Michigan            9-6   0.525  266  0.432
170 Central Florida            12-4   0.524  328  0.329
171 Arkansas St.               10-6   0.524  313  0.373
172 American                    9-6   0.524  204  0.472
173 Mercer                     10-4   0.523  315  0.370
174 George Mason                7-7   0.522  176  0.491
175 Wright St.                  8-8   0.522  154  0.504
176 Sam Houston St.             8-7   0.521  264  0.433
177 Albany                      8-7   0.520  258  0.440
178 Missouri Kansas City        6-7   0.513   73  0.559
179 Samford                     9-6   0.511  292  0.402
180 Texas San Antonio           7-6   0.507  263  0.434
181 Drake                       6-8   0.503   41  0.589
182 Rider                       8-6   0.494  251  0.445
183 South Carolina St.*         8-7   0.492  277  0.421
184 Detroit                     6-8   0.491   77  0.555
185 Butler                      6-8   0.488  248  0.446
186 Southern Mississippi        9-7   0.484  286  0.407
187 Maine                       8-7   0.483  237  0.453
188 Tennessee Tech              9-6   0.480  316  0.366
189 Northern Arizona            9-8   0.480  281  0.412
190 Fairleigh Dickinson*        8-8   0.478  241  0.450
191 St. Francis PA              8-6   0.477  216  0.467
192 St. Peter's                 6-8   0.476  162  0.502
193 Purdue                      4-10  0.475   12  0.642
194 Columbia                    9-4   0.475  326  0.330
195 Cal Santa Barbara           6-8   0.472   94  0.541
196 Indiana St.                 7-10  0.471   87  0.548
197 Georgia Southern            8-7   0.471  273  0.427
198 Brown                       7-7   0.469  228  0.459
199 Tennessee St.               8-10  0.461  119  0.525
200 Valparaiso                  6-10  0.461   20  0.619
201 The Citadel                10-4   0.461  333  0.288
202 Brigham Young               6-11  0.451  124  0.524
203 Marist                      8-7   0.451  254  0.442
204 High Point                  8-9   0.450  302  0.389
205 Baylor                      8-5   0.448  332  0.312
206 Cal Riverside               6-8   0.445  187  0.484
207 Penn St.                    6-11  0.445   84  0.548
208 Central Michigan            7-7   0.444  193  0.478
209 Fordham                     6-9   0.442  101  0.538
210 Georgia St.                 7-9   0.442  125  0.523
211 Belmont                     5-9   0.434  103  0.536
212 Texas Arlington             7-7   0.433  221  0.464
213 Coppin St.                  5-10  0.432    2  0.679
214 Appalachian St.             6-8   0.428  201  0.473
215 Florida International       7-9   0.427  170  0.497
216 East Carolina               5-11  0.424   71  0.559
217 Montana                     7-9   0.420  185  0.486
218 Oakland                     4-10  0.418   42  0.589
219 Norfolk St.                 6-7   0.416  244  0.448
220 Southern Utah               8-7   0.415  295  0.399
221 Yale                        4-9   0.413   54  0.579
222 Lipscomb                    8-5   0.412  324  0.341
223 Montana St.                 8-8   0.411  279  0.418
224 Austin Peay                 5-11  0.411   67  0.561
225 Mississippi Valley St.*     5-8   0.409  122  0.524
226 Georgia                     6-8   0.409  184  0.486
227 Texas St.                   8-7   0.405  308  0.382
228 Iona                        5-10  0.404  139  0.512
229 McNeese St.                 7-8   0.404  314  0.372
230 Stephen F. Austin           7-7   0.401  331  0.315
231 Delaware                    7-9   0.398  203  0.472
232 Southeast Missouri St.      6-9   0.395  280  0.417
233 Monmouth                    5-8   0.393  159  0.502
234 Lehigh                      9-7   0.392  320  0.347
235 St. Francis NY              6-7   0.391  298  0.396
236 East Tennessee St.          6-9   0.389  267  0.430
237 Texas Pan American          7-9   0.388  231  0.457
238 Tulsa                       3-11  0.386   65  0.562
239 Marshall                    3-11  0.379   25  0.608
240 New Orleans                 7-9   0.378  232  0.457
241 Western Illinois            5-11  0.377  145  0.507
242 Harvard                     6-9   0.372  210  0.470
243 La Salle                    5-9   0.370   96  0.540
244 Robert Morris               5-10  0.370  191  0.480
245 Cal Davis                   6-9   0.368  192  0.480
246 Charleston Southern         7-7   0.367  259  0.440
247 Stony Brook                 7-8   0.363  291  0.403
248 New Hampshire               6-9   0.362  224  0.463
249 Quinnipiac                  6-6   0.362  306  0.386
250 Binghamton                  4-11  0.362   46  0.584
251 Chicago St.                 3-11  0.361   16  0.632
252 Delaware St.                4-11  0.360   43  0.588
253 Bethune Cookman             6-8   0.356  212  0.468
254 Idaho                       5-11  0.355  206  0.470
255 Tulane                      6-9   0.354  290  0.404
256 Loyola Chicago              4-12  0.353   99  0.539
257 Utah Valley St.             7-9   0.350  299  0.395
258 Hampton                     5-9   0.349  130  0.520
259 San Jose St.                4-10  0.347   53  0.579
260 Eastern Illinois            5-10  0.344  115  0.527
261 Boise St.                   7-9   0.343  282  0.410
262 Lafayette                   5-10  0.341  180  0.490
263 Cleveland St.               4-9   0.337  208  0.470
264 Western Carolina            5-13  0.336  168  0.499
265 Eastern Washington          5-11  0.336   92  0.542
266 Cornell                     5-9   0.334  235  0.454
267 Central Connecticut         5-9   0.331  239  0.451
268 Howard                      5-8   0.329  246  0.448
269 St. Louis                   3-12  0.328   48  0.584
270 Stetson                     5-9   0.328  127  0.523
271 Florida A&M                 3-9   0.327   15  0.636
272 NC Asheville                4-11  0.325   88  0.545
273 Rhode Island                3-11  0.324   97  0.540
274 Morehead St.                7-8   0.321  274  0.426
275 Duquesne                    4-13  0.320   69  0.560
276 Long Beach St.              2-13  0.316   24  0.608
277 Colgate                     5-10  0.312  284  0.410
278 Louisiana Monroe            6-9   0.311  297  0.397
279 Troy                        5-11  0.310  169  0.497
280 Southern                    7-7   0.310  319  0.350
281 Idaho St.                   6-10  0.308  309  0.379
282 Long Island                 6-8   0.307  276  0.423
283 Northern Colorado           5-14  0.306   74  0.558
284 Radford                     6-9   0.303  312  0.376
285 Alabama A&M                 6-9   0.303  304  0.387
286 Weber St.                   5-11  0.300  260  0.438
287 Tennessee Martin            4-11  0.297  142  0.510
288 Florida Atlantic            3-11  0.296  167  0.499
289 Coastal Carolina            5-11  0.295  278  0.420
290 Texas Southern              4-8   0.294  285  0.408
291 South Alabama               4-11  0.291  173  0.493
292 New Mexico St.              4-12  0.290  179  0.490
293 Canisius                    4-10  0.289  255  0.441
294 Towson                      4-11  0.286  220  0.465
295 Nicholls St.                5-10  0.284  289  0.404
296 Sacramento St.              5-11  0.282  205  0.472
297 Jacksonville                7-7   0.277  327  0.329
298 Alabama St.                 5-9   0.274  225  0.462
299 Hartford                    5-10  0.271  236  0.454
300 Liberty                     4-11  0.269   78  0.554
301 Dartmouth                   4-10  0.268  238  0.452
302 Grambling                   5-7   0.267  296  0.398
303 Morgan St.                  4-11  0.261  214  0.467
304 Cal Poly                    3-10  0.257  157  0.503
305 William & Mary              4-10  0.255  196  0.476
306 MD Baltimore County         6-9   0.253  317  0.355
307 Mount St. Mary's            5-9   0.244  310  0.377
308 IUPU Fort Wayne             4-13  0.244  144  0.508
309 James Madison               3-10  0.237  137  0.514
310 Jackson St.                 5-12  0.236  253  0.444
311 Jacksonville St.            4-12  0.234  287  0.407
312 Siena                       3-12  0.233  141  0.511
313 Virginia Military Inst      5-8   0.228  330  0.317
314 South Dakota St.            4-11  0.216  303  0.389
315 North Dakota St.            5-11  0.211  321  0.346
316 Centenary                   2-13  0.207   75  0.557
317 Arkansas Pine Bluff         3-10  0.202  133  0.518
318 Elon                        2-15  0.199  138  0.513
319 Campbell                    2-12  0.199   52  0.582
320 Loyola MD                   3-11  0.191  294  0.402
321 Navy                        4-11  0.185  325  0.341
322 North Carolina A&T          2-13  0.184  106  0.534
323 Wagner                      2-12  0.183  217  0.466
324 Alcorn St.                  3-12  0.158  268  0.430
325 Sacred Heart                1-12  0.150  149  0.506
326 Youngstown St.              3-13  0.148  283  0.410
327 Prairie View A&M            2-11  0.142  102  0.538
328 Army                        2-13  0.131  307  0.384
329 St. Bonaventure             1-13  0.119  199  0.473
330 Longwood                    1-20  0.110  197  0.476
331 Wild Card U.               13-282 0.078   58  0.574
332 Maryland Eastern Shore      1-12  0.066  242  0.449
333 Savannah St.                0-22  0.038  245  0.448



The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:

  1 Atlantic Coast                    0.773
  2 Big Twelve                        0.739
  3 Big East                          0.732
  4 Southeastern                      0.724
  5 Pacific 10                        0.714
  6 Big Ten                           0.712
  7 Missouri Valley                   0.660
  8 West Coast                        0.641
  9 Conference USA                    0.632
 10 Mountain West                     0.620
 11 Mid-American                      0.597
 12 Western Athletic                  0.575
 13 Sun Belt                          0.509
 14 Atlantic 10                       0.503
 15 Big West                          0.500
 16 Southern                          0.493
 17 Colonial                          0.489
 18 America East                      0.469
 19 Horizon                           0.464
 20 Ivy League                        0.449
 21 Mid-Continent                     0.446
 22 Southland                         0.445
 23 Metro Atlantic                    0.420
 24 Ohio Valley                       0.419
 25 Patriot                           0.412
 26 Atlantic Sun                      0.388
 27 Big Sky                           0.384
 28 Big South                         0.376
 29 Northeast                         0.335
 30 Mideastern Athletic               0.325
 31 Independents                      0.287
 32 Southwestern Athletic             0.260



ARGH System Predictions for games of 1-15-05:

ARGH System Predictions for games of 1-17-05:
ALCORN ST 2 over Ark-Pine Bluff, total 124
BIRMINGHAM SOUTHERN 15 over UNC Asheville, total 139
CAL POLY Pick 'em over UC Davis, total 154
CHARLESTON SO 9 over Liberty, total 127
High Point 1 over COASTAL CAROLINA, total 147
COLL OF CHARLESTON 2 over Furman, total 133
Utah 3 over COLORADO ST, total 128
COPPIN ST 7 over Bethune-Cookman, total 123
DARTMOUTH 3 over Colgate, total 140
Wichita St 3 over EVANSVILLE, total 149
FLORIDA INTL Pick 'em over North Texas, total 134
Chattanooga 6 over GEORGIA SO, total 150
GEORGIA ST 2 over Gardner-Webb, total 140
HAMPTON 24 over MD-East Shore, total 137
Belmont 1 over JACKSONVILLE, total 133
KENT ST 22 over IPFW, total 132
Detroit Pick 'em over LOYOLA-CHICAGO, total 120
MANHATTAN 8 over St. Peter's, total 156
MORGAN ST 2 over Florida A&M, total 148
Quinnipiac Pick 'em over MT ST. MARY'S, total 142
Columbia 9 over NAVY, total 154
Howard 2 over NORTH CAROLINA A&T, total 151
Jackson St 1 over PRAIRIE VIEW A&M, total 130
Rider 14 over Loyola-Maryland, total 146
Central Conn 4 over SACRED HEART, total 136
Connecticut 5 over SETON HALL, total 139
SIENA 3 over Canisius, total 143
SOUTH CAROLINA ST 9 over Delaware St, total 120
SOUTHERN U 1 over Miss Valley St, total 142
ST. FRANCIS-NY 2 over St. Francis-PA, total 137
STETSON 2 over Lipscomb, total 123
TX-PAN AMERICAN 1 over TX-San Antonio, total 147
TEXAS SOUTHERN 7 over Grambling, total 145
Oklahoma St 6 over TEXAS, total 150
UMKC 18 over South Dakota St, total 138
Robert Morris 4 over WAGNER, total 140
WIS-MILWAUKEE 14 over Wright St, total 134
WOFFORD 7 over The Citadel, total 131
WYOMING 11 over BYU, total 155

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