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ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings!

ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings

Teams Conferences Predictions

The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2002-2003 season, after games of 3-9-03. Home court advantage is 0.639, or about 4.78 points for an average game. Teams with an asterisk (*) project to make the NCAA Tournament.

Rank   Team                   Record Rating   Schedule
  1 Arizona*                   25-2   0.938   15  0.676
  2 Kentucky*                  26-3   0.934    4  0.704
  3 Pittsburgh*                23-4   0.899   83  0.591
  4 Kansas*                    24-6   0.898   48  0.638
  5 Texas*                     22-5   0.894   10  0.691
  6 Louisville*                21-6   0.889   19  0.671
  7 Florida*                   24-6   0.886   25  0.665
  8 Wake Forest*               23-4   0.883   52  0.632
  9 Xavier (OH)*               24-4   0.883   76  0.600
 10 Marquette*                 23-4   0.881   56  0.629
 11 Oklahoma*                  21-6   0.880   27  0.664
 12 Illinois*                  21-6   0.879   54  0.631
 13 Syracuse*                  23-4   0.873   64  0.618
 14 Georgia*                   19-8   0.868    1  0.758
 15 Wisconsin*                 22-6   0.868   67  0.611
 16 Duke*                      21-6   0.866   40  0.649
 17 St. Joseph's (PA)*         22-5   0.865   78  0.599
 18 Creighton*                 28-4   0.860  137  0.510
 19 Mississippi St.*           19-8   0.854   24  0.666
 20 Maryland*                  19-8   0.848   61  0.623
 21 Notre Dame*                22-8   0.847   20  0.670
 22 Brigham Young*             22-7   0.840   51  0.634
 23 Memphis*                   22-5   0.833   85  0.589
 24 Oklahoma St.*              21-8   0.832   31  0.659
 25 Stanford*                  23-7   0.825   32  0.657
 26 Purdue*                    18-9   0.815   17  0.672
 27 Utah*                      23-6   0.815   93  0.577
 28 LSU*                       19-9   0.814   65  0.616
 29 Missouri*                  18-9   0.814    8  0.692
 30 Butler*                    25-4   0.809  145  0.502
 31 Dayton*                    21-5   0.808   77  0.599
 32 Arizona St.*               19-10  0.806   29  0.661
 33 Cincinnati*                17-10  0.805   11  0.683
 34 Alabama*                   17-10  0.803    7  0.699
 35 Connecticut*               19-8   0.795   69  0.605
 36 Michigan St.*              18-11  0.793   22  0.668
 37 Gonzaga*                   23-7   0.792  111  0.555
 38 California*                20-7   0.791   49  0.636
 39 Texas Tech*                16-11  0.789   14  0.676
 40 Southern Illinois*         24-5   0.787  122  0.536
 41 Colorado*                  19-10  0.786   34  0.652
 42 Oregon*                    20-9   0.781   70  0.603
 43 NC Wilmington*             23-6   0.774  201  0.457
 44 Holy Cross*                25-4   0.770  278  0.388
 45 Indiana*                   18-11  0.770    9  0.691
 46 Pennsylvania*              21-5   0.767  206  0.450
 47 Auburn*                    19-10  0.766   59  0.625
 48 Tennessee*                 17-10  0.761   18  0.671
 49 Boston College*            17-10  0.743   43  0.647
 50 Central Michigan*          21-6   0.742  130  0.527
 51 Louisiana Lafayette        20-9   0.735  118  0.539
 52 UNLV                       19-9   0.730   79  0.598
 53 Wisconsin Milwaukee        23-7   0.729  140  0.506
 54 Tulsa*                     19-9   0.728  113  0.549
 55 Georgia Tech               14-13  0.726   30  0.660
 56 Western Michigan           18-9   0.723  114  0.548
 57 North Carolina St.         16-11  0.722   62  0.620
 58 DePaul                     16-11  0.721   47  0.640
 59 Troy St.*                  26-5   0.721  258  0.409
 60 North Carolina             16-14  0.718    6  0.701
 61 Manhattan*                 22-6   0.718  191  0.462
 62 Providence                 15-12  0.717   39  0.650
 63 Seton Hall                 16-11  0.716   33  0.656
 64 Western Kentucky*          22-8   0.715  143  0.505
 65 Michigan                   17-12  0.714   38  0.650
 66 Weber St.*                 24-5   0.705  228  0.436
 67 Villanova                  15-14  0.705   21  0.669
 68 Illinois Chicago           21-8   0.703  142  0.505
 69 St. Louis                  15-12  0.699   12  0.677
 70 Minnesota                  16-11  0.698   66  0.616
 71 Wyoming                    20-9   0.695  103  0.565
 72 Kent St.                   19-8   0.694  139  0.508
 73 Fresno St.                 20-8   0.690  134  0.517
 74 Mississippi                13-14  0.683   44  0.644
 75 Georgetown                 14-13  0.680   90  0.583
 76 College of Charleston      24-7   0.680  230  0.434
 77 St. John's (NY)            15-12  0.673   63  0.619
 78 Texas A&M                  14-13  0.671   23  0.667
 79 Iowa                       15-12  0.670   72  0.602
 80 New Mexico St.             20-8   0.669  194  0.461
 81 South Carolina             12-15  0.669    3  0.711
 82 Richmond                   15-12  0.668   91  0.581
 83 Virginia                   15-14  0.664   26  0.665
 84 Iowa St.                   15-12  0.662   94  0.577
 85 Kansas St.                 13-16  0.658   55  0.631
 86 Valparaiso*                19-9   0.658  148  0.500
 87 Ohio St.                   14-13  0.657   42  0.648
 88 Utah St.*                  21-8   0.656  239  0.428
 89 San Diego                  17-11  0.654  116  0.545
 90 Charlotte                  13-15  0.653   13  0.677
 91 Cal Irvine                 19-8   0.649  205  0.451
 92 Rice                       19-9   0.649  159  0.491
 93 Florida St.                13-14  0.647   50  0.634
 94 SW Missouri St.            17-12  0.643  132  0.522
 95 Temple                     13-14  0.642   28  0.661
 96 Davidson                   17-10  0.640  207  0.450
 97 Detroit                    18-12  0.639  152  0.496
 98 Rhode Island               17-10  0.639  104  0.564
 99 Chattanooga                21-9   0.638  217  0.443
100 Sam Houston St.*           21-6   0.637  301  0.352
101 St. Bonaventure            13-14  0.637   58  0.628
102 UAB                        16-11  0.636  131  0.526
103 Nevada                     16-12  0.632  123  0.534
104 Hawaii                     17-10  0.632  136  0.516
105 Clemson                    15-12  0.630   81  0.593
106 San Diego St.              15-12  0.627  110  0.561
107 Morehead St.               20-9   0.627  238  0.428
108 Stephen F. Austin          20-7   0.625  302  0.352
109 Boston University*         19-9   0.625  196  0.461
110 Baylor                     14-13  0.621   73  0.602
111 Austin Peay*               23-7   0.620  248  0.422
112 Tennessee Tech             20-12  0.618  199  0.458
113 East Tennessee St.*        20-10  0.617  220  0.441
114 Drexel                     19-10  0.617  177  0.475
115 Murray St.                 17-12  0.614  170  0.479
116 West Virginia              14-14  0.614   45  0.643
117 Cal Santa Barbara          17-12  0.612  162  0.489
118 Colorado St.               16-13  0.603  120  0.536
119 Vanderbilt                 10-17  0.601    5  0.703
120 Eastern Washington         17-11  0.601  164  0.486
121 Southern Methodist         16-12  0.600  107  0.563
122 Southern California        11-16  0.599   41  0.648
123 Tulane                     15-14  0.598  121  0.536
124 South Florida              14-13  0.597  100  0.570
125 Oregon St.                 13-14  0.591   82  0.593
126 George Mason               16-12  0.588  153  0.494
127 Princeton                  16-10  0.588  203  0.454
128 Wichita St.                18-11  0.585  147  0.500
129 VA Commonwealth            18-10  0.583  243  0.424
130 Miami (FL)                 11-16  0.583   74  0.601
131 Mercer                     23-6   0.581  303  0.352
132 Siena                      19-10  0.581  221  0.440
133 Central Florida            21-11  0.580  253  0.414
134 Rutgers                    12-16  0.579   53  0.632
135 Fairfield                  19-10  0.577  176  0.475
136 Arkansas                    9-18  0.577    2  0.712
137 Northern Illinois          15-13  0.573  106  0.563
138 Miami (OH)                 13-14  0.573   95  0.576
139 Appalachian St.            19-10  0.564  232  0.432
140 East Carolina              12-15  0.560   86  0.586
141 Denver                     17-14  0.560  149  0.497
142 Toledo                     13-15  0.559   98  0.574
143 Pepperdine                 15-13  0.558  115  0.545
144 Oral Roberts               18-10  0.558  279  0.386
145 Air Force                  12-15  0.556   96  0.575
146 San Francisco              15-14  0.555  125  0.530
147 Washington                 10-17  0.555   37  0.651
148 South Alabama              14-14  0.551  127  0.528
149 Yale                       14-13  0.551  156  0.493
150 UCLA                        9-18  0.546   16  0.675
151 George Washington          11-16  0.545   75  0.600
152 Brown                      17-11  0.544  186  0.464
153 St. Mary's (CA)            15-15  0.541  141  0.506
154 Loyola Chicago             15-16  0.540  112  0.550
155 Belmont                    17-12  0.530  211  0.448
156 Ball St.                   13-16  0.529   84  0.589
157 Middle Tennessee St.       15-13  0.524  146  0.501
158 Iona                       17-12  0.523  233  0.431
159 American                   16-13  0.520  251  0.416
160 Wagner*                    20-10  0.518  280  0.385
161 Nebraska                   11-18  0.518   35  0.652
162 Vermont                    19-11  0.518  294  0.364
163 Arkansas Little Rock       18-12  0.518  192  0.461
164 IUPUI                      18-13  0.516  200  0.458
165 Niagara                    17-12  0.516  173  0.478
166 Arkansas St.               13-15  0.512  204  0.451
167 Southern Mississippi       12-15  0.512   87  0.585
168 Marshall                   13-14  0.512  150  0.497
169 New Orleans                15-14  0.512  168  0.484
170 Ohio                       12-15  0.510   80  0.594
171 Akron                      14-13  0.507  178  0.475
172 Eastern Illinois           14-15  0.507  128  0.527
173 Jacksonville St.           20-10  0.505  292  0.367
174 Virginia Tech              11-18  0.500   71  0.603
175 Evansville                 12-16  0.496   89  0.583
176 Bradley                    12-18  0.496  129  0.527
177 SW Texas St.               16-11  0.495  290  0.369
178 La Salle                   11-16  0.494   88  0.584
179 Wofford                    14-15  0.492  182  0.468
180 Delaware                   15-14  0.491  172  0.478
181 Louisiana Tech             12-14  0.490  117  0.539
182 Texas Arlington            16-12  0.488  245  0.424
183 TCU                         9-19  0.488   60  0.625
184 Bowling Green              12-15  0.486  119  0.537
185 Northwestern               11-16  0.485   97  0.574
186 Oakland                    17-11  0.482  287  0.372
187 Cal St. Northridge         14-14  0.479  219  0.442
188 Hartford                   16-12  0.477  260  0.405
189 New Mexico                 10-17  0.476  102  0.566
190 Idaho St.                  15-13  0.469  224  0.438
191 Eastern Michigan           14-13  0.466  210  0.449
192 Old Dominion               12-15  0.465  197  0.459
193 Winthrop                   20-10  0.465  321  0.308
194 Pacific                    12-15  0.465  163  0.487
195 Northeastern               16-14  0.459  268  0.398
196 Boise St.                  13-15  0.456  166  0.485
197 Binghamton                 14-13  0.452  225  0.438
198 McNeese St.                14-13  0.448  241  0.427
199 Birmingham Southern        19-9   0.447  324  0.297
200 Northern Iowa              11-17  0.443  124  0.532
201 Tennessee Martin           14-14  0.443  222  0.439
202 Georgia Southern           16-13  0.442  257  0.409
203 Cal Poly-SLO               14-13  0.439  216  0.445
204 Maine                      14-16  0.438  271  0.396
205 Massachusetts              11-17  0.435  108  0.563
206 Prairie View A&M*          16-11  0.430  264  0.400
207 Northern Arizona           15-13  0.430  266  0.399
208 Samford                    13-15  0.419  198  0.459
209 Furman                     14-17  0.416  218  0.442
210 Lehigh                     16-12  0.414  300  0.354
211 Idaho                      13-14  0.412  237  0.429
212 Centenary                  14-14  0.408  273  0.395
213 Washington St.              7-20  0.407   46  0.642
214 Santa Clara                13-15  0.406  181  0.471
215 Houston                     8-19  0.403   57  0.628
216 Montana                    13-17  0.402  190  0.462
217 James Madison              13-17  0.398  212  0.448
218 Marist                     13-16  0.397  193  0.461
219 South Carolina St.*        17-10  0.396  316  0.322
220 Quinnipiac                 17-12  0.395  310  0.336
221 Penn St.                    7-20  0.392   36  0.652
222 Georgia St.                14-15  0.392  269  0.397
223 Bucknell                   14-15  0.392  255  0.412
224 Drake                      10-20  0.391  133  0.518
225 Portland                   11-17  0.391  138  0.508
226 Hampton                    17-10  0.388  325  0.294
227 Harvard                    12-15  0.386  223  0.438
228 Canisius                   10-18  0.382  187  0.463
229 Lamar                      13-14  0.378  275  0.392
230 Montana St.                11-16  0.377  235  0.429
231 Colgate                    14-14  0.377  295  0.362
232 Delaware St.               15-11  0.376  306  0.346
233 Loyola Marymount           11-20  0.373  160  0.489
234 Illinois St.                8-21  0.372   99  0.571
235 Rider                      12-16  0.372  236  0.429
236 Texas A&M Corpus Chris     14-15  0.369  270  0.396
237 Monmouth (NJ)              15-13  0.368  291  0.368
238 Duquesne                    9-20  0.367  109  0.562
239 Wright St.                 10-18  0.363  154  0.494
240 Texas Southern             15-12  0.361  320  0.314
241 SE Missouri St.            11-19  0.359  180  0.471
242 Alabama St.                14-14  0.359  304  0.350
243 Louisiana Monroe           12-15  0.359  242  0.426
244 Florida A&M                16-11  0.357  317  0.319
245 Central Connecticut        15-13  0.355  311  0.333
246 Mississippi Valley St.     14-13  0.355  315  0.324
247 Lafayette                  13-16  0.355  281  0.382
248 Charleston Southern        14-14  0.355  297  0.361
249 Eastern Kentucky           11-17  0.350  261  0.405
250 Stony Brook                13-15  0.349  296  0.361
251 Wisconsin Green Bay        10-20  0.348  158  0.491
252 North Texas                 7-21  0.347   92  0.581
253 St. Francis (NY)           14-15  0.347  305  0.347
254 SE Louisiana               11-16  0.339  240  0.427
255 NC Asheville*              14-16  0.337  234  0.430
256 St. Peter's                10-19  0.333  183  0.467
257 Jacksonville               13-16  0.333  263  0.400
258 Coastal Carolina           13-15  0.332  293  0.367
259 Cal St. Fullerton          10-18  0.332  202  0.455
260 Southern Utah              11-16  0.330  256  0.411
261 Cal St. Sacramento         12-16  0.327  214  0.447
262 St. Francis (PA)           14-14  0.324  307  0.344
263 Florida International       8-21  0.321  157  0.493
264 Texas San Antonio          10-17  0.315  213  0.448
265 Coppin St.                 11-16  0.313  254  0.414
266 Western Carolina            9-19  0.310  249  0.422
267 William & Mary             12-16  0.306  267  0.399
268 Cleveland St.               8-22  0.305  126  0.530
269 Fairleigh Dickinson        15-14  0.303  319  0.316
270 Jackson St.                10-17  0.301  252  0.414
271 Howard                     11-16  0.300  312  0.332
272 Alcorn St.                 12-18  0.298  262  0.402
273 NC Greensboro               7-22  0.293  161  0.489
274 Elon                       12-15  0.291  282  0.381
275 Missouri Kansas City        9-19  0.290  185  0.467
276 IUPU Ft. Wayne              9-21  0.288  155  0.493
277 San Jose St.                7-20  0.286  144  0.502
278 Youngstown St.              9-20  0.283  188  0.463
279 Hofstra                     8-21  0.277  174  0.477
280 Indiana St.                 7-24  0.276  101  0.566
281 The Citadel                 8-20  0.274  259  0.407
282 Liberty                    14-15  0.272  313  0.331
283 VMI                        10-20  0.269  229  0.434
284 Texas Pan American         10-20  0.267  298  0.357
285 Grambling                  12-17  0.264  283  0.381
286 Cal Riverside               6-18  0.263  151  0.496
287 Buffalo                     5-22  0.259  135  0.517
288 Florida Atlantic            7-21  0.256  184  0.467
289 Dartmouth                   8-19  0.256  265  0.400
290 Robert Morris              10-17  0.250  308  0.341
291 Cornell                     9-18  0.250  246  0.424
292 Long Island                 9-19  0.249  274  0.395
293 Norfolk St.                13-14  0.246  326  0.290
294 Mount St. Mary's           11-16  0.240  299  0.357
295 Navy                        8-20  0.237  276  0.390
296 Gardner Webb                5-24  0.232  165  0.486
297 Western Illinois            7-21  0.225  209  0.449
298 Lipscomb                    8-20  0.211  318  0.319
299 High Point                  7-20  0.210  277  0.389
300 Portland St.                5-22  0.208  179  0.472
301 Northwestern St.            6-21  0.206  208  0.450
302 Stetson                     6-20  0.204  227  0.436
303 Radford                    10-20  0.203  272  0.396
304 Texas El Paso               5-23  0.195  171  0.479
305 Albany (NY)                 7-21  0.195  247  0.423
306 Sacred Heart                8-21  0.192  289  0.371
307 MD Baltimore County         7-20  0.189  288  0.371
308 Long Beach St.              5-22  0.188  169  0.481
309 Alabama A&M                 8-19  0.188  323  0.305
310 Fordham                     2-25  0.187   68  0.608
311 New Hampshire               5-23  0.162  215  0.447
312 Southern                    9-19  0.158  328  0.244
313 Bethune Cookman             7-21  0.149  309  0.338
314 Chicago St.                 3-27  0.145  167  0.484
315 Morris Brown                8-20  0.132  314  0.326
316 Army                        5-22  0.124  284  0.375
317 Campbell                    5-22  0.123  286  0.373
318 Loyola (MD)                 4-24  0.120  244  0.424
319 Morgan St.                  7-21  0.120  327  0.274
320 MD Eastern Shore            5-22  0.112  322  0.306
321 Towson                      4-24  0.109  231  0.433
322 Arkansas Pine Bluff         4-24  0.103  175  0.476
323 Nicholls St.                3-25  0.101  189  0.462
324 Tennessee St.               2-25  0.097  195  0.461
325 Savannah St.                3-24  0.090  250  0.419
326 Columbia                    2-25  0.088  226  0.437
327 Wild Card U.               14-243 0.061  105  0.564
328 North Carolina A&T          1-25  0.046  285  0.373



The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences:

  1 Southeastern                      0.768
  2 Big Twelve                        0.752
  3 Atlantic Coast                    0.745
  4 Big East                          0.709
  5 Big Ten                           0.704
  6 Pacific 10                        0.684
  7 Mountain West                     0.668
  8 Conference USA                    0.662
  9 Atlantic 10                       0.597
 10 Mid-American                      0.549
 11 Sun Belt                          0.542
 12 Western Athletic                  0.536
 13 Missouri Valley                   0.535
 14 West Coast                        0.534
 15 Horizon                           0.524
 16 Ohio Valley                       0.471
 17 Southern                          0.470
 18 Colonial                          0.461
 19 Metro Atlantic                    0.452
 20 Big West                          0.449
 21 Big Sky                           0.440
 22 Ivy League                        0.429
 23 America East                      0.408
 24 Atlantic Sun                      0.406
 25 Mid-Continent                     0.401
 26 Southland                         0.399
 27 Patriot                           0.399
 28 Big South                         0.323
 29 Northeast                         0.311
 30 Southwestern Athletic             0.282
 31 Mideastern Athletic               0.255
 32 Independents                      0.252



ARGH System Predictions for games of 3-10-03:

BOSTON U 10 over Northeastern, total 139
Vermont 1 over Hartford, total 129
LA SALLE 18 over Fordham, total 148
MASSACHUSETTS 1 over George Wash, total 137
RHODE ISLAND 14 over Duquesne, total 142
UNC Wilmington 6 over Drexel, total 136
Manhattan 5 over Fairfield, total 138
AKRON 5 over Ohio, total 158
BALL STATE 6 over Bowling Green, total 142
MARSHALL 7 over Eastern Mich, total 162
NORTHERN ILL 15 over Buffalo, total 129
WESTERN MICH 10 over Toledo, total 126
IUPUI 6 over Southern Utah, total 132
Valparaiso 8 over UMKC, total 138
Howard 11 over MD-East Shore, total 148
Norfolk St 15 over North Carolina A&T, total 134
Creighton 5 over Southern Ill, total 156
SW TEXAS ST 10 over UL-Monroe, total 155
TX-ARLINGTON 6 over McNeese St, total 135
Denver 1 over Middle Tenn St, total 134
WESTERN KY 7 over New Mexico St, total 144
Gonzaga 1 over SAN DIEGO, total 151

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