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ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings
The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for the 2004-2005 season, after games of 3-20-05. Home court advantage is 0.635, or about 4.72 points for an average game.
Rank Team Record Rating Schedule 1 Illinois 34-1 0.949 63 0.620 2 North Carolina 29-4 0.933 19 0.674 3 Duke 27-5 0.910 17 0.678 4 Oklahoma St. 26-6 0.906 9 0.689 5 Louisville 31-4 0.902 109 0.561 6 Kentucky 27-5 0.890 42 0.645 7 Kansas 23-7 0.890 3 0.721 8 Washington 29-5 0.885 51 0.636 9 Wake Forest 27-6 0.884 16 0.682 10 Michigan St. 24-6 0.873 70 0.612 11 Florida 24-8 0.871 35 0.654 12 Oklahoma 25-8 0.870 28 0.660 13 Villanova 24-7 0.869 32 0.656 14 Arizona 29-6 0.868 49 0.638 15 Wisconsin 24-8 0.850 18 0.675 16 Connecticut 23-8 0.848 44 0.644 17 Syracuse 27-7 0.845 73 0.611 18 Alabama 24-8 0.844 52 0.634 19 Boston College 25-5 0.842 68 0.614 20 Cincinnati 25-8 0.839 72 0.612 21 Utah 29-5 0.839 138 0.523 22 Texas Tech 22-10 0.833 11 0.688 23 Gonzaga 26-5 0.833 92 0.581 24 Georgia Tech 20-12 0.825 4 0.707 25 Southern Illinois 27-8 0.811 75 0.608 26 North Carolina St. 21-13 0.807 14 0.685 27 Wisconsin Milwaukee 26-5 0.805 159 0.493 28 Pittsburgh 20-9 0.801 62 0.621 29 Pacific 27-4 0.801 143 0.519 30 Iowa 21-12 0.799 13 0.687 31 Mississippi St. 23-11 0.799 33 0.656 32 West Virginia 23-10 0.792 26 0.663 33 Texas 20-11 0.787 50 0.637 34 Utah St. 24-8 0.783 185 0.473 35 Nevada 25-7 0.782 117 0.546 36 Louisiana St. 20-10 0.780 20 0.673 37 Minnesota 21-11 0.772 43 0.644 38 Texas A&M 21-9 0.771 115 0.549 39 New Mexico 26-7 0.765 180 0.476 40 Vermont 25-7 0.765 155 0.496 41 Vanderbilt 19-13 0.765 45 0.643 42 Ohio St. 20-12 0.764 55 0.627 43 Creighton 23-11 0.760 78 0.604 44 George Washington 22-8 0.759 129 0.532 45 Iowa St. 19-12 0.759 22 0.671 46 UAB 22-11 0.758 59 0.624 47 Old Dominion 28-6 0.756 220 0.443 48 Charlotte 21-8 0.756 87 0.591 49 Wichita St. 22-9 0.754 86 0.592 50 Maryland 17-12 0.750 36 0.654 51 Holy Cross 25-6 0.742 245 0.419 52 Northern Iowa 21-11 0.741 81 0.599 53 Texas El Paso 27-8 0.738 184 0.473 54 St. Mary's 25-9 0.734 118 0.545 55 Arkansas 18-12 0.732 96 0.575 56 Southwest Missouri St. 19-13 0.731 57 0.625 57 UCLA 18-11 0.731 30 0.657 58 South Carolina 16-13 0.725 31 0.657 59 Stanford 18-13 0.721 21 0.673 60 Clemson 16-16 0.720 7 0.692 61 DePaul 20-11 0.720 82 0.597 62 Georgetown 18-12 0.718 53 0.632 63 Buffalo 23-10 0.717 91 0.583 64 Saint Joseph's 21-11 0.717 99 0.571 65 Indiana 15-14 0.707 6 0.698 66 Memphis 21-15 0.706 88 0.588 67 Oral Roberts 25-8 0.706 211 0.447 68 Davidson 23-8 0.700 177 0.478 69 Miami FL 16-13 0.699 34 0.655 70 Notre Dame 17-12 0.697 66 0.615 71 Western Michigan 20-12 0.696 110 0.559 72 Miami OH 19-11 0.696 100 0.571 73 Arizona St. 18-14 0.695 60 0.621 74 Kansas St. 17-12 0.695 67 0.615 75 Nebraska 14-14 0.693 47 0.639 76 Akron 19-10 0.691 127 0.533 77 Louisiana Lafayette 20-11 0.690 102 0.567 78 Air Force 18-12 0.689 126 0.533 79 Virginia 14-15 0.684 1 0.726 80 Pennsylvania 20-9 0.683 161 0.492 81 Ohio 21-11 0.678 113 0.556 82 Providence 14-17 0.674 24 0.669 83 Western Kentucky 22-9 0.670 162 0.490 84 Tennessee 14-17 0.668 12 0.687 85 Bucknell 23-10 0.664 157 0.494 86 Hofstra 21-9 0.663 172 0.482 87 Boston University 20-9 0.661 208 0.451 88 Temple 16-14 0.660 74 0.610 89 Kent St. 20-13 0.660 106 0.563 90 Oregon 14-13 0.658 37 0.653 91 Washington St. 12-16 0.657 5 0.703 92 Missouri 16-17 0.657 8 0.690 93 Texas Christian 20-13 0.652 103 0.565 94 Winthrop 27-6 0.651 309 0.347 95 Marquette 19-12 0.651 105 0.564 96 Houston 18-14 0.650 69 0.613 97 Rice 19-12 0.649 122 0.539 98 Nevada Las Vegas 17-13 0.648 80 0.601 99 Colorado 14-16 0.646 10 0.689 100 Denver 20-11 0.642 168 0.486 101 Xavier 17-12 0.634 142 0.520 102 Virginia Tech 16-14 0.633 64 0.620 103 Toledo 16-13 0.629 97 0.574 104 Mississippi 14-17 0.625 38 0.651 105 Oregon St. 17-15 0.618 65 0.618 106 Ball St. 15-13 0.617 108 0.561 107 Illinois St. 17-13 0.617 104 0.565 108 Chattanooga 20-11 0.616 219 0.444 109 Southeastern Louisiana 24-9 0.616 284 0.377 110 Cal St. Fullerton 21-10 0.615 192 0.468 111 Wyoming 15-13 0.609 85 0.593 112 Dayton 18-11 0.609 153 0.501 113 Drexel 17-12 0.608 147 0.512 114 Bowling Green 18-11 0.606 128 0.532 115 Florida St. 12-19 0.602 23 0.671 116 Cal St. Northridge 18-13 0.600 156 0.495 117 Northeastern 21-10 0.599 195 0.463 118 San Diego 16-13 0.595 132 0.528 119 San Francisco 17-14 0.594 98 0.572 120 Niagara 20-10 0.594 227 0.435 121 Middle Tennessee 19-12 0.592 206 0.451 122 Northwestern 15-16 0.592 39 0.647 123 Southern California 12-17 0.592 27 0.660 124 Seton Hall 12-16 0.590 48 0.638 125 Virginia Commonwealth 19-13 0.586 164 0.489 126 Auburn 14-17 0.584 25 0.664 127 Texas A&M Corpus Chris 20-8 0.581 319 0.332 128 Hawaii 16-13 0.580 137 0.523 129 Pepperdine 17-14 0.574 120 0.541 130 Michigan 13-18 0.574 40 0.647 131 Bradley 13-15 0.572 76 0.607 132 Southern Methodist 14-14 0.572 119 0.544 133 Eastern Kentucky 22-9 0.570 277 0.384 134 College of Charleston 18-10 0.567 229 0.435 135 Arkansas Little Rock 18-10 0.567 167 0.486 136 NC Wilmington 19-10 0.562 198 0.461 137 California 13-16 0.560 54 0.631 138 South Florida 14-16 0.557 111 0.557 139 Northwestern St. 21-12 0.556 237 0.427 140 Drake 13-16 0.556 71 0.612 141 Santa Clara 15-16 0.555 114 0.550 142 Furman 16-13 0.552 242 0.423 143 Louisiana Tech 14-15 0.551 107 0.562 144 George Mason 16-13 0.551 183 0.474 145 Murray St. 17-11 0.551 247 0.418 146 Portland 15-15 0.547 125 0.534 147 Sam Houston St. 18-12 0.545 259 0.407 148 St. John's 9-18 0.544 29 0.658 149 Richmond 14-15 0.540 89 0.586 150 Central Florida 24-9 0.540 298 0.359 151 Rutgers 10-19 0.540 15 0.682 152 Princeton 15-13 0.540 165 0.487 153 Purdue 7-21 0.533 2 0.725 154 Northern Illinois 11-17 0.531 84 0.594 155 Arkansas St. 16-13 0.527 207 0.451 156 Georgia Southern 18-13 0.525 251 0.414 157 Massachusetts 16-12 0.524 148 0.511 158 Rider 19-11 0.523 248 0.417 159 Lamar 18-11 0.519 276 0.385 160 Fresno St. 16-14 0.519 166 0.487 161 Appalachian St. 18-12 0.516 255 0.411 162 Detroit 14-16 0.514 146 0.513 163 IUPUI 16-13 0.507 214 0.444 164 Wisconsin Green Bay 17-11 0.506 176 0.478 165 Illinois Chicago 15-14 0.506 178 0.478 166 NC Greensboro 18-12 0.505 194 0.464 167 Tennessee Tech 18-11 0.504 287 0.372 168 Wright St. 15-15 0.503 145 0.514 169 Loyola Marymount 11-17 0.503 83 0.594 170 Colorado St. 11-17 0.498 123 0.538 171 Indiana St. 11-20 0.496 56 0.627 172 Evansville 11-17 0.494 95 0.576 173 Oakland 13-19 0.494 94 0.576 174 San Diego St. 11-18 0.490 90 0.585 175 American 16-12 0.490 222 0.439 176 Missouri Kansas City 16-12 0.488 226 0.436 177 Cal Irvine 16-13 0.484 213 0.445 178 Butler 13-15 0.484 215 0.444 179 Manhattan 15-14 0.479 232 0.432 180 South Carolina St. 19-12 0.473 318 0.333 181 Montana 18-13 0.472 241 0.424 182 Wofford 14-14 0.468 234 0.429 183 Portland St. 19-9 0.467 323 0.322 184 Texas San Antonio 15-13 0.464 246 0.419 185 Gardner Webb 18-12 0.462 297 0.361 186 St. Peter's 15-13 0.462 236 0.428 187 Fordham 13-16 0.461 150 0.509 188 Fairfield 15-15 0.459 217 0.444 189 Valparaiso 15-16 0.459 151 0.506 190 Albany 13-15 0.458 230 0.435 191 North Texas 14-14 0.457 203 0.453 192 Fairleigh Dickinson 20-13 0.457 299 0.357 193 Brigham Young 9-21 0.457 77 0.605 194 Delaware St. 19-14 0.455 249 0.415 195 New Orleans 13-17 0.453 135 0.524 196 Loyola Chicago 13-17 0.452 144 0.515 197 Austin Peay 13-19 0.450 139 0.522 198 St. Louis 9-21 0.447 61 0.621 199 Southeast Missouri St. 15-14 0.446 261 0.403 200 Florida International 13-17 0.441 134 0.525 201 Samford 15-13 0.439 273 0.388 202 East Carolina 9-19 0.438 79 0.602 203 Birmingham Southern 16-14 0.437 280 0.381 204 Tulsa 9-20 0.435 121 0.540 205 Iona 15-16 0.434 225 0.437 206 Eastern Michigan 12-18 0.433 160 0.493 207 Tennessee St. 14-17 0.423 173 0.481 208 Boise St. 16-18 0.422 163 0.489 209 Georgia St. 14-15 0.422 204 0.453 210 Georgia 8-20 0.420 41 0.646 211 Coppin St. 14-15 0.417 197 0.462 212 Maine 14-15 0.415 212 0.445 213 Hampton 17-13 0.410 302 0.354 214 Utah Valley St. 16-12 0.409 307 0.347 215 Baylor 9-19 0.407 101 0.571 216 Mercer 16-12 0.406 312 0.345 217 Cal Santa Barbara 11-18 0.404 140 0.521 218 Belmont 14-16 0.402 250 0.415 219 Binghamton 12-17 0.399 189 0.470 220 Monmouth 16-13 0.397 289 0.367 221 McNeese St. 13-15 0.396 262 0.403 222 Penn St. 7-23 0.396 46 0.641 223 La Salle 10-19 0.395 112 0.556 224 Yale 11-16 0.393 181 0.475 225 Southern Mississippi 11-17 0.392 169 0.486 226 Western Illinois 11-17 0.387 199 0.460 227 Harvard 12-15 0.386 218 0.444 228 Marshall 6-22 0.376 58 0.625 229 Weber St. 14-16 0.374 257 0.410 230 Lehigh 14-15 0.370 292 0.364 231 Cornell 13-14 0.369 258 0.407 232 Montana St. 14-14 0.367 291 0.364 233 Stephen F. Austin 12-15 0.366 306 0.351 234 Brown 12-16 0.366 238 0.424 235 Delaware 11-20 0.366 171 0.483 236 Eastern Illinois 12-16 0.364 210 0.447 237 Tulane 10-18 0.364 141 0.521 238 Texas St. 14-14 0.363 286 0.374 239 Lipscomb 16-12 0.362 320 0.329 240 High Point 13-18 0.362 300 0.356 241 East Tennessee St. 10-19 0.362 200 0.459 242 St. Francis PA 15-13 0.357 301 0.354 243 Florida Atlantic 10-17 0.354 224 0.438 244 Chicago St. 9-19 0.353 131 0.530 245 Cleveland St. 9-17 0.352 175 0.479 246 Southern Utah 13-15 0.352 252 0.412 247 Troy 12-18 0.352 231 0.432 248 Robert Morris 14-15 0.347 293 0.363 249 South Alabama 10-18 0.346 188 0.471 250 Northern Arizona 11-17 0.343 281 0.380 251 Texas Arlington 13-15 0.343 271 0.396 252 Central Michigan 10-18 0.343 130 0.531 253 Cal Davis 11-17 0.342 216 0.444 254 Colgate 12-16 0.340 267 0.401 255 Marist 11-17 0.338 240 0.424 256 Long Beach St. 10-20 0.336 152 0.503 257 Norfolk St. 13-14 0.333 316 0.334 258 St. Francis NY 13-15 0.328 313 0.345 259 Duquesne 8-22 0.327 116 0.548 260 Stony Brook 12-17 0.327 239 0.424 261 NC Asheville 11-17 0.326 233 0.431 262 Texas Pan American 12-16 0.325 264 0.402 263 Wagner 13-17 0.324 269 0.397 264 Jacksonville 16-13 0.323 308 0.347 265 Central Connecticut 12-16 0.322 288 0.367 266 Columbia 12-15 0.321 290 0.365 267 Mississippi Valley St. 13-15 0.315 325 0.316 268 Liberty 13-15 0.314 254 0.412 269 Alabama A&M 18-14 0.309 332 0.261 270 Florida A&M 14-15 0.307 272 0.388 271 The Citadel 12-16 0.306 283 0.378 272 Sacramento St. 12-16 0.304 278 0.383 273 Cal Riverside 9-19 0.303 202 0.454 274 Eastern Washington 8-20 0.298 170 0.483 275 Idaho 8-22 0.298 190 0.469 276 Stetson 10-17 0.296 228 0.435 277 Canisius 11-18 0.295 266 0.401 278 Radford 12-16 0.292 303 0.353 279 New Hampshire 9-19 0.291 223 0.438 280 Morgan St. 14-16 0.291 317 0.333 281 Western Carolina 8-22 0.290 186 0.472 282 Long Island 14-15 0.289 314 0.344 283 Rhode Island 6-22 0.287 133 0.528 284 Charleston Southern 13-17 0.285 275 0.386 285 San Jose St. 6-23 0.279 93 0.576 286 MD Baltimore County 11-18 0.278 263 0.402 287 Coastal Carolina 10-19 0.278 274 0.386 288 Elon 8-23 0.275 154 0.498 289 Dartmouth 10-17 0.271 244 0.420 290 Lafayette 9-19 0.271 205 0.453 291 Northern Colorado 8-21 0.264 182 0.474 292 Southern 14-15 0.256 330 0.276 293 Morehead St. 11-16 0.256 282 0.379 294 New Mexico St. 6-24 0.256 149 0.509 295 Jackson St. 15-17 0.254 324 0.319 296 William & Mary 8-21 0.253 187 0.471 297 Alabama St. 15-15 0.253 327 0.297 298 Grambling 14-12 0.251 331 0.269 299 Bethune Cookman 13-17 0.248 321 0.326 300 Louisiana Monroe 8-19 0.248 260 0.406 301 Quinnipiac 10-17 0.241 315 0.337 302 Idaho St. 9-18 0.239 294 0.362 303 IUPU Fort Wayne 7-22 0.237 174 0.480 304 Navy 9-19 0.233 295 0.362 305 North Dakota St. 16-12 0.219 333 0.184 306 Jacksonville St. 7-22 0.218 270 0.397 307 Texas Southern 11-15 0.217 329 0.277 308 Tennessee Martin 6-21 0.210 209 0.448 309 Siena 6-24 0.209 196 0.463 310 Towson 5-24 0.208 191 0.469 311 Nicholls St. 6-21 0.206 265 0.402 312 Hartford 8-20 0.204 235 0.428 313 Virginia Military Inst 9-18 0.199 322 0.323 314 James Madison 6-22 0.194 179 0.476 315 South Dakota St. 10-18 0.187 328 0.295 316 Cal Poly 5-22 0.187 193 0.466 317 Mount St. Mary's 7-20 0.181 310 0.346 318 Loyola MD 6-22 0.178 256 0.410 319 North Carolina A&T 6-24 0.165 268 0.398 320 Youngstown St. 5-23 0.157 221 0.440 321 Arkansas Pine Bluff 7-21 0.152 311 0.346 322 Centenary 3-24 0.147 158 0.494 323 Sacred Heart 4-23 0.139 279 0.382 324 Howard 5-23 0.130 305 0.351 325 St. Bonaventure 2-26 0.119 136 0.523 326 Alcorn St. 7-22 0.112 326 0.313 327 Campbell 2-25 0.107 201 0.457 328 Prairie View A&M 5-23 0.099 296 0.362 329 Army 3-24 0.096 285 0.376 330 Longwood 1-30 0.069 243 0.423 331 Wild Card U. 15-313 0.063 124 0.538 332 Maryland Eastern Shore 2-26 0.041 304 0.352 333 Savannah St. 0-28 0.028 253 0.412
The following are the ARGH College Basketball Power Ratings for conferences: 1 Atlantic Coast 0.768 2 Big Twelve 0.743 3 Big East 0.730 4 Southeastern 0.725 5 Big Ten 0.710 6 Pacific 10 0.699 7 Missouri Valley 0.653 8 Conference USA 0.631 9 Mountain West 0.624 10 West Coast 0.617 11 Mid-American 0.590 12 Western Athletic 0.553 13 Sun Belt 0.513 14 Atlantic 10 0.503 15 Big West 0.481 16 Horizon 0.476 17 Colonial 0.475 18 Southern 0.474 19 America East 0.440 20 Mid-Continent 0.433 21 Southland 0.420 22 Ivy League 0.416 23 Ohio Valley 0.403 24 Patriot 0.401 25 Metro Atlantic 0.397 26 Atlantic Sun 0.366 27 Big Sky 0.358 28 Big South 0.349 29 Northeast 0.308 30 Mideastern Athletic 0.297 31 Independents 0.266 32 Southwestern Athletic 0.222
Odds against winning the 2005 NCAA Basketball Tournament, based on the ARGH Power Ratings as of 3-21-05 and the bracketed matchups:
(1) Illinois 2.3 to 1 (1) North Carolina 4.6 to 1 (1) Duke 9.6 to 1 (2) Oklahoma St. 13.1 to 1 (4) Louisville 13.3 to 1 (2) Kentucky 15.4 to 1 (1) Washington 17.3 to 1 (5) Michigan St. 28.2 to 1 (6) Wisconsin 32.4 to 1 (5) Villanova 38.4 to 1 (3) Arizona 39.8 to 1 (6) Texas Tech 52.4 to 1 (6) Utah 73.1 to 1 (10)North Carolina St. 116.7 to 1 (7) West Virginia 124.0 to 1 (12)Wisconsin Milwaukee 230.9 to 1
ARGH System Predictions for games of 3-21-05: WESTERN MICHIGAN 6 over TCU, total 138 VANDERBILT 5 over Wichita St, total 136 SAINT JOSEPH'S 3 over Holy Cross, total 122
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